Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: GRAND WARRIOR PROGRESS PLATE (For Maidens & 1,2 & 3 time winners)
Line Horse
Empire Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 4
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 4
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 4
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Trustfall 3 54.5 1 0.00 3.5 66 63 63 -3 2 Empire Blue 4 60.0 2 0.10 1.5 78 78 78 +0 3 The Octagon 2 54.5 3 5.10 0.0 71 70 70 -1 99 Cosmic Event 5 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trustfall | 66 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Empire Blue Line | 78 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | The Octagon | 71 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cosmic Event | - | 70 | 76 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points