Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: Catch KZN Racing via live streaming on www.galloptv.co.za MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses with a Nett Rating of 102 & below)
Line Horse
Nelson Bay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Plaza Accord 2 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 82 82 +2 2 Golden Destiny 2 55.5 2 1.30 0.0 91 87 87 -4 3 Nelson Bay 4 58.5 3 1.70 1.0 91 91 91 +0 4 Tyrconnell 5 55.5 4 1.80 0.0 86 87 87 +1 5 The Ghost 2 52.0 5 2.40 0.0 85 79 79 -6 6 Icy Blast 4 55.5 6 2.50 1.0 83 84 84 +1 7 Stars In Heaven 2 55.5 7 2.70 0.0 84 86 86 +2 8 Parmenion 5 54.0 8 4.30 0.0 82 81 81 -1 9 Strathclyde 3 58.5 9 5.30 2.0 97 86 87 -10 10 Capsaicin 4 58.5 10 5.35 1.0 92 88 88 -4 11 Proud Master 3 61.5 11 15.25 2.0 102 92 92 -10 12 Noble City 3 61.5 12 16.85 2.0 100 92 92 -8 99 Max The Magician 4 58.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Accord | 80 | 84 | 82 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Golden Destiny | 91 | 90 | 87 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Nelson Bay Line | 91 | 90 | 91 | -1 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Tyrconnell | 86 | 82 | 87 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Ghost | 85 | 72 | 79 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Icy Blast | 83 | 88 | 84 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Stars In Heaven | 84 | 87 | 86 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Parmenion | 82 | 78 | 81 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Strathclyde | 97 | 97 | 87 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Capsaicin | 92 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Proud Master | 102 | 97 | 92 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Noble City | 100 | 93 | 92 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Max The Magician | - | 95 | 88 | +7 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points