Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: EAST CAPE OAKS (Listed) (For 3 year old Fillies)

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Line Horse
First Wish
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Lotus Island         2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   92    93           93    +1
2    Honorable Member     3    60.0    2    0.10     3.5   75    86           86    +11
3    First Wish           3    60.0    3    1.60     3.5   91    91           91    +0
4    Can't Say No         3    60.0    4    3.85     3.5   85    88           88    +3
4    Tap Shoes            3    60.0    4    3.85     3.5   84    88           88    +4
6    Ignitethelight       3    60.0    6    5.60     3.5   86    86           86    +0
7    Greenlitealltheway   2    60.0    7    5.70     0.0   78    93           93    +15
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lotus Island 92 93 93 ✓ Match 0.0 -
2 Honorable Member 75 88 86 +2 3.5 -
3 First Wish Line 91 86 91 -5 3.5
4 Can't Say No 85 83 88 -5 3.5 -
4 Tap Shoes 84 86 88 -2 3.5 -
6 Ignitethelight 86 74 86 -12 3.5 -
7 Greenlitealltheway 78 96 93 +3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points