Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: ARTHUR HAVERGAL, JACOB KALT, MICHAEL COETZEE FM 81 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Elembee
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Play With Fire 4 55.5 1 0.00 1.5 72 68 72 +0 2 Free In Seattle 3 55.0 2 0.20 3.5 78 63 68 -10 3 Elembee 5 59.5 3 3.80 0.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Lapis Lazuli 3 55.0 4 5.30 3.5 78 63 68 -10 5 Key Worker 3 58.0 5 5.60 3.5 84 69 74 -10 6 Patches Of Grey 4 51.0 6 7.10 1.5 68 59 59 -9 7 Coffeeberry 5 53.0 7 7.15 0.0 75 66 66 -9 8 Tried And True 5 57.5 8 8.55 0.0 76 75 75 -1 9 Azaleas For All 4 56.0 9 8.80 1.5 73 69 69 -4 10 Flamboyant Flyer 4 55.0 10 9.30 1.5 79 67 69 -10 11 Ancient Wisdom 3 60.0 11 10.50 3.5 88 73 78 -10 12 Hat's Lady 4 52.5 12 24.75 1.5 66 62 62 -4 13 Wearingofthegreen ( 4 52.0 13 32.00 1.5 63 61 61 -2 14 Teo Torriatte 4 53.0 14 99.99 1.5 67 63 63 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Play With Fire | 72 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Free In Seattle | 78 | 89 | 68 | +21 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Elembee Line | 80 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Lapis Lazuli | 78 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Key Worker | 84 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Patches Of Grey | 68 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Coffeeberry | 75 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tried And True | 76 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Azaleas For All | 73 | 82 | 69 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Flamboyant Flyer | 79 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Ancient Wisdom | 88 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Hat's Lady | 66 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Wearingofthegreen (IRE) | 63 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Teo Torriatte | 67 | 94 | 63 | +31 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points