Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: ARTHUR HAVERGAL, JACOB KALT, MICHAEL COETZEE FM 81 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

Line Horse
Elembee
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Play With Fire       4    55.5    1    0.00     1.5   72    68           72    +0
2    Free In Seattle      3    55.0    2    0.20     3.5   78    63           68    -10
3    Elembee              5    59.5    3    3.80     0.0   80    80           80    +0
4    Lapis Lazuli         3    55.0    4    5.30     3.5   78    63           68    -10
5    Key Worker           3    58.0    5    5.60     3.5   84    69           74    -10
6    Patches Of Grey      4    51.0    6    7.10     1.5   68    59           59    -9
7    Coffeeberry          5    53.0    7    7.15     0.0   75    66           66    -9
8    Tried And True       5    57.5    8    8.55     0.0   76    75           75    -1
9    Azaleas For All      4    56.0    9    8.80     1.5   73    69           69    -4
10   Flamboyant Flyer     4    55.0    10   9.30     1.5   79    67           69    -10
11   Ancient Wisdom       3    60.0    11   10.50    3.5   88    73           78    -10
12   Hat's Lady           4    52.5    12   24.75    1.5   66    62           62    -4
13   Wearingofthegreen (  4    52.0    13   32.00    1.5   63    61           61    -2
14   Teo Torriatte        4    53.0    14   99.99    1.5   67    63           63    -4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Play With Fire 72 79 72 +7 1.5 -
2 Free In Seattle 78 89 68 +21 3.5 -
3 Elembee Line 80 77 80 -3 0.0
4 Lapis Lazuli 78 59 68 -9 3.5 -
5 Key Worker 84 84 74 +10 3.5 -
6 Patches Of Grey 68 62 59 +3 1.5 -
7 Coffeeberry 75 72 66 +6 0.0 -
8 Tried And True 76 75 75 ✓ Match 0.0 -
9 Azaleas For All 73 82 69 +13 1.5 -
10 Flamboyant Flyer 79 77 69 +8 1.5 -
11 Ancient Wisdom 88 82 78 +4 3.5 -
12 Hat's Lady 66 64 62 +2 1.5 -
13 Wearingofthegreen (IRE) 63 61 61 ✓ Match 1.5 -
14 Teo Torriatte 67 94 63 +31 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points