A speed figure rates how fast the horse ran, not where it finished — so a horse can win slowly (low figure) or run fast in defeat (high one). The scale is built so runs at different tracks, trips and going are directly comparable.
Par. For each track + distance + going we take the median winning time across years of races — the time a normal winner clocks there. Each runner's time is estimated as the winner's time plus its lengths behind (converted to seconds at that race's pace). The figure is then:
Speed = 100 − 2 × (lengths slower than par).
So 100 = par-winning pace, and roughly every 2 points = one length. Above 100 is faster than the standard winner, below is slower.
From this horse's best winning run 27 Jun 2026 · Turffontein 1160m (Good): it won in 67.03s against a par of 67.89s — about 6.2 lengths faster than the standard winner → Speed 112.
Estimated from the winner's time plus beaten lengths (individual clockings aren't published), so it carries some margin of error. It doesn't account for in-race pace or wind. Races with an unreliable winning time (more than ~25 lengths off par) are dropped, beaten lengths are capped at 20, and figures are bounded to 30–140.
Weight-adjusted line. The dashed line normalises each run to a reference of 58 kg carried — the approximate level-weight standard in South African handicap racing. A horse that carried more gets credit (figure rises); one on a lighter load has the advantage removed (figure falls). Conversion: 1 length per 2 kg per 2000 m — so 62 kg in a 1600 m race = +2.5 pts; 55 kg = −1.9 pts. Runs with no weight on record stay at the raw figure.
This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing this horse with the same 1-unit bet every time it runs, at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when it wins at a price that outweighs the losing runs, falling on a losing streak. It asks whether blindly backing the horse would have made money, a tougher test than its win count alone.
Each run settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a win at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a win at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This horse's record 15 runs with a priced SP, staking 15 units in total → a loss of -2.7 units, an ROI of -18.0% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runs with a recorded SP are counted, so this bet total can be lower than the horse's total runs. It assumes you back it at SP every single time, with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Date | Venue | Race | Dist | Pos | Jockey | Draw | Weight | MR Pre | Lengths | Odds | Equip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | Turffontein | R8 — FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 17… | 1160m | 1 | Mr G J Lerena | 4 | 58.0kg | 71 | Won | 33/10Fav | |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Kenilworth | R8 — LUCKY FISH TURF LUCK CLASS 4 (Open. Benc… | 1600m | 5 | Mr K de Melo | 7 | 56.0kg | 72 | +4.45 | 25/2 | |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Durbanville | R8 — Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE APPRENTICE C… | 1600m | 3 | Mr V Jodhee | 1 | 57.0kg* | 72 | +1.15 | 4/1 | |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Kenilworth | R12 — CITY OF CAPE TOWN C STAKES (For All Hors… | 1600m | 15 | Mr C J Habib | 9 | 58.5kg | 72 | +13.40 | 40/1 | |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Durbanville | R3 — JOIN THE RACE COAST TURF CLUB MAIDEN PLA… | 1600m | 1 | Mr A C Fortune | 10 | 60.0kg | 72 | Won | 7/1 | |
| 24 Jun 2025 | Kenilworth | R5 — RACECAPE POWERED BY Hollywoodbets MAIDEN… | 1600m | 2 | Mr A C Fortune | 2 | 60.0kg | 76 | +0.50 | 28/10 | |
| 25 May 2025 | Kenilworth | R3 — TURF TALK SYNDICATE MAIDEN PLATE (For al… | 1600m | 2 | Mr A Arries | 3 | 60.0kg | 78 | +3.00 | 33/1 | |
| 04 May 2025 | Kenilworth | R3 — P3 RACING SYNDICATE OPEN MAIDEN (For all… | 1800m | 4 | Mr A C Fortune | 2 | 61.0kg | 80 | +6.75 | 20/1 | |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Kenilworth | R4 — CAPE RACING SALES MAIDEN PLATE (For all … | 1600m | 11 | Mr O Noach | 13 | 60.0kg | 81 | +7.15 | 33/1 | |
| 26 Nov 2024 | Kenilworth | R4 — CELEBRATING CENTURION MEMBER GREG ENNION… | 1400m | 3 | Mr O Noach | 4 | 60.0kg | 72 | +1.85 | 25/1 | |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Durbanville | R3 — ONE WORLD SYNDICATE MAIDEN PLATE (For al… | 1400m | 6 | Mr O Noach | 7 | 60.0kg | 72 | +6.55 | 100/1 | |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Kenilworth | R1 — HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH WELCOMES YOU MA… | 1400m | 5 | Mr O Noach | 4 | 60.0kg | — | +9.00 | 25/1 | |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Kenilworth | R2 — CAPE RACING SALES CAPE SLIPPER (2yo R100… | 1200m | 14 | Mr D W Schwarz | 15 | 60.0kg | — | +8.65 | 75/1 | |
| 06 Jan 2024 | Kenilworth | R2 — THE TRIPPI STAKES (2 yo R100 000 Win Bon… | 1000m | 8 | Mr D W Schwarz | 1 | 60.0kg | — | +5.00 | 100/1 | |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Kenilworth | R3 — HeartFM COMMONWEALTH PLATE (For 2 yo R10… | 1000m | 8 | Mr D W Schwarz | 9 | 59.5kg | — | +7.80 | 66/1 |