Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 20 JUNE FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Colorama
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bretty 3 54.0 1 0.00 1.0 56 48 56 +0 2 Ice Cap 3 57.5 2 0.75 1.0 61 59 59 -2 3 Colorama 6 55.0 3 1.25 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Courageous 4 61.0 4 2.00 0.5 68 66 66 -2 5 Lady Luck 4 59.5 5 3.25 0.5 65 62 62 -3 6 Jet Set Run 2 53.0 6 3.50 0.0 72 49 62 -10 7 Blue Palace 2 60.0 7 4.25 0.0 69 63 63 -6 8 City Of Dreams 3 56.5 8 4.35 1.0 62 53 53 -9 9 Kilmonivaig 5 59.5 9 4.60 0.0 65 61 61 -4 10 Duellona 2 60.5 10 5.60 0.0 67 63 63 -4 11 Dream Scape 5 56.5 11 8.85 0.0 59 55 55 -4 12 Perfect Trust 7 49.5 12 11.85 0.0 50 41 41 -9 13 Pink Moon 4 57.0 13 13.60 0.5 60 55 55 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bretty | 56 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ice Cap | 61 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Colorama Line | 56 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Courageous | 68 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Lady Luck | 65 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Jet Set Run | 72 | 80 | 62 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blue Palace | 69 | 69 | 63 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | City Of Dreams | 62 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kilmonivaig | 65 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Duellona | 67 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dream Scape | 59 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Perfect Trust | 50 | 50 | 41 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Pink Moon | 60 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points