Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)
Line Horse
Major Tommie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Of Vix 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.5 78 75 75 -3 2 Rafa's Boy 2 60.0 2 1.30 0.5 81 77 77 -4 3 Major Tommie 3 64.0 3 2.50 1.5 83 83 83 +0 4 In The Bag 4 58.5 4 3.30 2.0 70 71 71 +1 5 Jet Legacy 5 64.0 5 4.20 0.0 82 86 86 +4 6 Chocolate Bomb 2 64.0 6 4.60 0.5 80 85 85 +5 7 B Fiftytwo 4 58.5 7 4.70 2.0 70 71 71 +1 8 Polar Light 2 57.5 8 6.60 0.5 94 72 84 -10 9 Rhythm 2 60.0 9 6.70 0.5 73 77 77 +4 10 Iron Will 4 51.5 10 12.50 2.0 66 57 57 -9 99 Smorgasbord 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Warrior Of Royalty 4 61.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Of Vix | 78 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Rafa's Boy | 81 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Major Tommie Line | 83 | 94 | 83 | +11 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | In The Bag | 70 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Legacy | 82 | 89 | 86 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Chocolate Bomb | 80 | 82 | 85 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | B Fiftytwo | 70 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Polar Light | 94 | 75 | 84 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Rhythm | 73 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Iron Will | 66 | 63 | 57 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Smorgasbord | - | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Warrior Of Royalty | - | 76 | 77 | -1 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points