Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: STRIKER & JJ THE JET PLANE TAKE ON HONG KONG IN 2010 MR 100 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Warm Winter Nite
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chieftain 3 60.5 1 0.00 1.5 102 99 102 +0 2 Warm Winter Nite 2 56.0 2 1.75 0.5 92 92 92 +0 3 Karate Kid 3 62.0 3 1.95 1.5 105 102 102 -3 4 One Fell Swoop 2 60.0 4 2.65 0.5 100 100 100 +0 5 Cosmic Star 3 60.5 5 4.75 1.5 104 99 99 -5 6 Halberdier 4 51.5 6 5.15 2.0 91 80 81 -10 7 Rollwiththepunches 6 56.5 7 5.75 0.0 92 94 94 +2 8 Sheldon 6 61.0 8 8.50 0.0 102 103 103 +1 9 Tchaikovsky 6 52.0 9 12.75 0.0 81 85 85 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chieftain | 102 | 106 | 102 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Warm Winter Nite Line | 92 | 92 | 92 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Karate Kid | 105 | 103 | 102 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | One Fell Swoop | 100 | 97 | 100 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Cosmic Star | 104 | 105 | 99 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Halberdier | 91 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rollwiththepunches | 92 | 90 | 94 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sheldon | 102 | 106 | 103 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tchaikovsky | 81 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points