Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)
Line Horse
Warrior Of Royalty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Catavar 4 55.5 1 0.00 12.0 65 64 64 -1 2 Intrepid 3 57.5 2 0.50 10.5 77 71 71 -6 3 Warrior Of Royalty 4 61.5 3 1.50 12.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Rafa's Boy 2 64.0 4 2.70 7.0 81 91 91 +10 5 In The Bag 4 55.5 5 3.40 12.0 66 64 64 -2 6 Ibhele 3 60.0 6 3.90 10.5 75 76 76 +1 7 Chara Sands 3 54.5 7 4.10 10.5 72 65 65 -7 8 The Mask 2 58.5 8 5.10 7.0 71 80 80 +9 9 Trafalgar Square 6 58.5 9 5.90 0.0 71 94 94 +23 10 One Too Many 3 60.0 10 7.70 10.5 82 76 76 -6 11 Rhythm 2 58.5 11 10.10 7.0 72 80 80 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catavar | 65 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Intrepid | 77 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Warrior Of Royalty Line | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 12.0 | ||
| 4 | Rafa's Boy | 81 | 79 | 91 | -12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | In The Bag | 66 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ibhele | 75 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Chara Sands | 72 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | The Mask | 71 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Trafalgar Square | 71 | 69 | 94 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | One Too Many | 82 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Rhythm | 72 | 67 | 80 | -13 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points