Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Dapper
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Wild Justice         2    57.0    1    0.00     6.5   87    79           79    -8
2    Dapper               2    57.0    2    1.70     6.5   79    79           79    +0
3    Circumbendibus       3    60.0    3    3.70     9.5   80    79           79    -1
4    Ibhele               3    52.0    4    4.00     9.5   72    63           63    -9
5    Real War             2    60.0    5    4.50     6.5   80    85           85    +5
6    Counter Attack       3    56.5    6    5.70     9.5   73    72           72    -1
7    Night Tiger          5    53.0    7    6.70     0.0   71    84           84    +13
8    Now I Got You        5    52.5    8    7.00     0.0   73    83           83    +10
9    Smorgasbord          6    57.0    9    7.40     0.0   82    92           92    +10
10   Chocolate Bomb       2    55.0    10   7.70     6.5   70    75           75    +5
99   All The Time         3    56.0    99   0.00     9.5   -     71           71    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Wild Justice 87 104 79 +25 6.5 -
2 Dapper Line 79 72 79 -7 6.5
3 Circumbendibus 80 97 79 +18 9.5 -
4 Ibhele 72 70 63 +7 9.5 -
5 Real War 80 73 85 -12 6.5 -
6 Counter Attack 73 67 72 -5 9.5 -
7 Night Tiger 71 67 84 -17 0.0 -
8 Now I Got You 73 67 83 -16 0.0 -
9 Smorgasbord 82 77 92 -15 0.0 -
10 Chocolate Bomb 70 82 75 +7 6.5 -
99 All The Time - 74 71 +3 9.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points