Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Cappellino           3    58.5    1    0.00     5.0   58    55           55    -3
2    Trafalgar Square     6    60.5    2    0.40     0.0   69    69           69    +0
3    Little Cracker       3    60.0    3    0.80     5.0   63    58           58    -5
4    Purple Powahouse     8    57.0    4    1.50     0.0   56    62           62    +6
5    Axis Power           3    62.5    5    2.80     5.0   68    63           63    -5
6    Austrian Beauty      3    57.0    6    2.85     5.0   67    52           57    -10
7    Bless Me Fred        6    60.0    7    3.85     0.0   64    68           68    +4
8    Hamilton Hero        3    60.0    8    6.85     5.0   78    58           68    -10
9    Grand Force          3    57.5    9    7.65     5.0   63    53           53    -10
10   Time In Paris        4    57.5    10   8.35     6.0   63    51           53    -10
99   Victor Rail          5    53.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     54           54    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Cappellino 58 61 55 +6 5.0 -
2 Trafalgar Square Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Little Cracker 63 61 58 +3 5.0 -
4 Purple Powahouse 56 55 62 -7 0.0 -
5 Axis Power 68 68 63 +5 5.0 -
6 Austrian Beauty 67 60 57 +3 5.0 -
7 Bless Me Fred 64 62 68 -6 0.0 -
8 Hamilton Hero 78 71 68 +3 5.0 -
9 Grand Force 63 54 53 +1 5.0 -
10 Time In Paris 63 61 53 +8 6.0 -
99 Victor Rail - 61 54 +7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points