Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Pacific Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Philispiel           7    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   59    59           59    +0
2    Pacific Winter       5    58.0    2    1.40     0.0   63    63           63    +0
3    Master Keeku         3    56.5    3    1.55     1.5   61    57           57    -4
4    Trafalgar Square     6    56.5    4    4.05     0.0   61    60           60    -1
5    Happy Wanderer       5    58.0    5    4.10     0.0   63    63           63    +0
6    Time Silhouette      3    61.5    6    5.90     1.5   71    67           67    -4
7    One Too Many         3    60.0    7    6.05     1.5   68    64           64    -4
8    Pedro                6    59.5    8    6.20     0.0   67    66           66    -1
9    Phinda Mzala         4    58.0    9    7.30     2.0   68    59           59    -9
10   Alfonsa Spagoni      6    57.0    10   7.55     0.0   64    61           61    -3
11   Iron Bark            3    60.0    11   8.85     1.5   68    64           64    -4
12   Guy Fox              4    50.0    12   9.10     2.0   55    43           45    -10
13   High Legislation     3    60.0    13   11.10    1.5   68    64           64    -4
99   Bless Me Fred        6    55.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     57           57    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Philispiel 59 70 59 +11 0.0 -
2 Pacific Winter Line 63 60 63 -3 0.0
3 Master Keeku 61 62 57 +5 1.5 -
4 Trafalgar Square 61 69 60 +9 0.0 -
5 Happy Wanderer 63 55 63 -8 0.0 -
6 Time Silhouette 71 56 67 -11 1.5 -
7 One Too Many 68 79 64 +15 1.5 -
8 Pedro 67 72 66 +6 0.0 -
9 Phinda Mzala 68 54 59 -5 2.0 -
10 Alfonsa Spagoni 64 60 61 -1 0.0 -
11 Iron Bark 68 96 64 +32 1.5 -
12 Guy Fox 55 49 45 +4 2.0 -
13 High Legislation 68 58 64 -6 1.5 -
99 Bless Me Fred - 62 57 +5 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points