Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: MUSTARD & KNOESEN MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Ndaka
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Slim Jannie 2 56.5 1 0.00 7.0 - 64 6 +6 2 Duke Of Rock 3 58.0 2 1.50 10.5 - 60 60 +60 3 Ndaka 3 60.0 3 2.00 10.5 64 64 64 +0 4 Gold Ensign 5 60.0 4 2.90 0.0 - 85 85 +85 5 Stanley Park 2 58.0 5 3.10 7.0 - 67 67 +67 6 Global Path 3 56.0 6 3.15 10.5 62 56 56 -6 7 Captain Spirit 3 58.0 7 5.75 10.5 - 60 60 +60 8 Path To Freedom 3 58.0 8 7.35 10.5 - 60 60 +60 9 Jessie Bay 2 51.5 9 8.15 7.0 - 54 54 +54 10 Bello Grosso 2 58.0 10 10.95 7.0 - 67 67 +67 11 Lord Edward 2 54.0 11 14.65 7.0 60 59 59 -1 12 Shadowbreak 4 60.0 12 17.35 12.0 - 61 61 +61 13 Run For Ricky 3 58.0 13 18.25 10.5 - 60 60 +60 99 Hayat 2 58.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Lemme Go 3 60.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 64 64 +0 99 Gotta Have Fate 2 58.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slim Jannie | - | 95 | 6 | +89 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Duke Of Rock | - | 76 | 60 | +16 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ndaka Line | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 10.5 | ||
| 4 | Gold Ensign | - | 64 | 85 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Stanley Park | - | 69 | 67 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Global Path | 62 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Captain Spirit | - | 73 | 60 | +13 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Path To Freedom | - | 68 | 60 | +8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Jessie Bay | - | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bello Grosso | - | 72 | 67 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lord Edward | 60 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Shadowbreak | - | 15 | 61 | -46 | 12.0 | - | |
| 13 | Run For Ricky | - | 18 | 60 | -42 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Hayat | - | 72 | 67 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lemme Go | - | 54 | 64 | -10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Gotta Have Fate | - | 54 | 67 | -13 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points