Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 65 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pedro
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gimme A Rainbow 4 58.0 1 0.00 7.0 66 47 66 +0 2 Bless Me Fred 6 53.0 2 0.70 0.0 54 51 51 -3 3 Pedro 6 57.5 3 2.00 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Hallerbos 3 59.5 4 2.25 6.0 64 52 54 -10 5 Grey Ocean 4 58.5 5 2.35 7.0 62 48 52 -10 6 Final Destiny 4 51.5 6 2.65 7.0 53 34 43 -10 7 Get Carter 4 54.5 7 2.85 7.0 54 40 44 -10 8 High Velocity 4 56.5 8 3.25 7.0 58 44 48 -10 9 Funky Music 4 60.0 9 4.00 7.0 65 51 55 -10 10 Anotherdayinafrica 6 57.5 10 5.10 0.0 60 60 60 +0 11 Top Honours 4 52.5 11 6.60 7.0 50 36 40 -10 12 Callmemrgreenlight 3 54.5 12 9.90 6.0 54 42 44 -10 99 Path To Fortune 3 55.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 44 44 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimme A Rainbow | 66 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bless Me Fred | 54 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pedro Line | 60 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Hallerbos | 64 | 57 | 54 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Grey Ocean | 62 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Final Destiny | 53 | 50 | 43 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Get Carter | 54 | 46 | 44 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | High Velocity | 58 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Funky Music | 65 | 83 | 55 | +28 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Anotherdayinafrica | 60 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Top Honours | 50 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Callmemrgreenlight | 54 | 45 | 44 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Path To Fortune | - | 56 | 44 | +12 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points