Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Drive By
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shell Seeker 3 55.0 1 0.00 9.0 60 41 60 +0 2 Drive By 6 53.5 2 3.60 0.0 57 57 57 +0 3 Jollification 3 59.0 3 4.65 9.0 69 49 59 -10 4 Edvige 3 53.5 4 4.95 9.0 57 38 47 -10 5 Mountainsofthemoon 2 57.5 5 6.15 0.0 83 64 73 -10 6 Roy's T's 2 56.5 6 6.20 0.0 64 62 62 -2 7 Miss Lialah 4 52.5 7 8.00 7.0 55 40 45 -10 8 Quanabi 2 57.0 8 8.40 0.0 65 63 63 -2 9 Rosslyne 2 57.0 9 11.20 0.0 65 63 63 -2 10 Mystic Angel 2 59.0 10 12.60 0.0 69 67 67 -2 11 Forged In Ice 3 54.0 11 15.80 9.0 58 39 48 -10 12 Perfect Trust 7 60.0 12 16.60 0.0 70 69 69 -1 99 Roy's Rocker 3 52.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 35 35 +0 99 English Primrose 3 52.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 35 35 +0 99 Hot Strike 7 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 53 53 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shell Seeker | 60 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Drive By Line | 57 | 68 | 57 | +11 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Jollification | 69 | 77 | 59 | +18 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Edvige | 57 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mountainsofthemoon | 83 | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Roy's T's | 64 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Miss Lialah | 55 | 65 | 45 | +20 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Quanabi | 65 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rosslyne | 65 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mystic Angel | 69 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Forged In Ice | 58 | 57 | 48 | +9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Perfect Trust | 70 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Roy's Rocker | - | 53 | 35 | +18 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | English Primrose | - | 58 | 35 | +23 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hot Strike | - | 59 | 53 | +6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points