Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cotton Ron
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dontshootthebarman 5 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 79 79 79 +0 2 Shot Of Courage 3 53.5 2 0.20 6.0 70 50 60 -10 3 Cotton Ron 6 58.0 3 0.80 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Northern Warrior 7 55.0 4 1.10 0.0 65 65 65 +0 5 Bless Me Fred 6 56.0 5 1.25 0.0 70 67 67 -3 6 Arverni Princess 2 57.5 6 2.15 4.0 78 62 68 -10 7 Anotherdayinafrica 6 52.0 7 2.90 0.0 59 59 59 +0 8 Trafalgar Square 6 53.5 8 3.70 0.0 62 62 62 +0 9 Will O Me 2 48.0 9 3.95 4.0 55 43 45 -10 10 Rhythm 2 59.5 10 9.05 4.0 82 66 72 -10 99 Mask On 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dontshootthebarman | 79 | 93 | 79 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Shot Of Courage | 70 | 73 | 60 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cotton Ron Line | 71 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Northern Warrior | 65 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bless Me Fred | 70 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arverni Princess | 78 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Anotherdayinafrica | 59 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Trafalgar Square | 62 | 69 | 62 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Will O Me | 55 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Rhythm | 82 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mask On | - | 52 | 63 | -11 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points