Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Pacific Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Faustino             3    58.5    1    0.00     4.5   81    61           81    +0
2    Blaze Of Silk        7    61.5    2    1.20     0.0   76    76           76    +0
3    Impartial            4    55.5    3    1.60     5.0   64    54           54    -10
4    Pacific Winter       5    55.5    4    2.80     0.0   64    64           64    +0
5    Grey Ocean           4    58.5    5    3.30     5.0   70    60           60    -10
6    Phinda Mzala         4    61.0    6    5.60     5.0   75    65           65    -10
7    Bless Me Fred        6    55.0    7    6.00     0.0   69    63           63    -6
8    Path To Fortune      3    56.5    8    7.00     4.5   72    57           62    -10
9    Casa Rosada          4    49.5    9    7.70     5.0   60    42           50    -10
10   Alfonsa Spagoni      6    54.0    10   8.20     0.0   60    61           61    +1
11   Count Marsh          7    53.0    11   11.70    0.0   67    59           59    -8
12   Sikh The Magic       3    55.0    12   21.20    4.5   69    54           59    -10
13   We All Chomies       5    52.5    13   36.50    0.0   57    58           58    +1
99   Vunderbar            4    52.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     47           47    +0
99   Chara Sands          3    56.0    99   0.00     4.5   -     56           56    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Faustino 81 82 81 +1 4.5 -
2 Blaze Of Silk 76 76 76 ✓ Match 0.0 -
3 Impartial 64 50 54 -4 5.0 -
4 Pacific Winter Line 64 60 64 -4 0.0
5 Grey Ocean 70 61 60 +1 5.0 -
6 Phinda Mzala 75 54 65 -11 5.0 -
7 Bless Me Fred 69 62 63 -1 0.0 -
8 Path To Fortune 72 56 62 -6 4.5 -
9 Casa Rosada 60 57 50 +7 5.0 -
10 Alfonsa Spagoni 60 60 61 -1 0.0 -
11 Count Marsh 67 52 59 -7 0.0 -
12 Sikh The Magic 69 59 59 ✓ Match 4.5 -
13 We All Chomies 57 54 58 -4 0.0 -
99 Vunderbar - 48 47 +1 5.0 -
99 Chara Sands - 70 56 +14 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points