Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Philispiel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Donquerari           5    60.5    1    0.00     0.0   85    88           85    +0
2    Philispiel           7    55.5    2    2.20     0.0   78    78           78    +0
3    Love In Winter       4    54.0    3    2.35     5.0   72    65           65    -7
4    Mask On              3    55.5    4    3.15     4.5   75    69           69    -6
5    Stanley Park         2    58.0    5    3.35     3.0   80    77           77    -3
6    War Empress          5    59.0    6    3.60     0.0   82    85           85    +3
7    Cotton Ron           6    54.0    7    4.50     0.0   72    75           75    +3
8    Super Fast           5    58.0    8    4.65     0.0   80    83           83    +3
9    B Fiftytwo           4    57.5    9    5.05     5.0   85    72           75    -10
10   Rhythm               2    56.0    10   5.30     3.0   82    73           73    -9
11   Dontshootthebarman   5    59.0    11   5.35     0.0   82    85           85    +3
12   Plinian              2    53.0    12   11.05    3.0   79    67           69    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Donquerari 85 86 85 +1 0.0 -
2 Philispiel Line 78 70 78 -8 0.0
3 Love In Winter 72 74 65 +9 5.0 -
4 Mask On 75 52 69 -17 4.5 -
5 Stanley Park 80 69 77 -8 3.0 -
6 War Empress 82 92 85 +7 0.0 -
7 Cotton Ron 72 59 75 -16 0.0 -
8 Super Fast 80 83 83 ✓ Match 0.0 -
9 B Fiftytwo 85 68 75 -7 5.0 -
10 Rhythm 82 67 73 -6 3.0 -
11 Dontshootthebarman 82 93 85 +8 0.0 -
12 Plinian 79 75 69 +6 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points