Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Love In Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Bless Me Fred        6    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   73    78           73    +0
2    Chara Sands          3    58.0    2    0.60     3.5   72    73           73    +1
3    Love In Winter       4    58.0    3    1.10     4.0   72    72           72    +0
4    Rhythm               2    58.5    4    1.30     2.5   78    76           76    -2
5    Gimme A Rainbow      4    59.5    5    3.50     4.0   75    75           75    +0
6    One Too Many         3    59.5    6    5.20     3.5   75    76           76    +1
7    Trafalgar Square     6    59.5    7    5.50     0.0   75    83           83    +8
8    Kian's Pride         2    60.0    8    11.50    2.5   81    79           79    -2
9    Ment To Fly          2    55.5    9    32.30    2.5   80    70           70    -10
99   Pendragon            5    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     78           78    +0
99   Jet Legacy           5    60.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     85           85    +0
99   Cavalieri            5    58.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     81           81    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Bless Me Fred 73 62 73 -11 0.0 -
2 Chara Sands 72 70 73 -3 3.5 -
3 Love In Winter Line 72 74 72 +2 4.0
4 Rhythm 78 67 76 -9 2.5 -
5 Gimme A Rainbow 75 74 75 -1 4.0 -
6 One Too Many 75 79 76 +3 3.5 -
7 Trafalgar Square 75 69 83 -14 0.0 -
8 Kian's Pride 81 81 79 +2 2.5 -
9 Ment To Fly 80 73 70 +3 2.5 -
99 Pendragon - 73 78 -5 0.0 -
99 Jet Legacy - 89 85 +4 0.0 -
99 Cavalieri - 73 81 -8 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points