Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Rafa's Boy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Connery              4    53.5    1    0.00     11.0  73    56           73    +0
2    Flight Path          2    58.5    2    2.30     6.5   75    75           75    +0
3    Rafa's Boy           2    60.0    3    2.80     6.5   78    78           78    +0
4    Northern Warrior     7    57.0    4    4.00     0.0   75    85           85    +10
5    Jet Legacy           5    60.5    5    5.05     0.0   79    92           92    +13
6    Fire Tonic           3    58.5    6    5.35     9.5   75    69           69    -6
7    Bless Me Fred        6    58.5    7    6.35     0.0   75    88           88    +13
8    Heaven's Will        3    58.0    8    7.05     9.5   74    68           68    -6
9    Super Fast           5    60.5    9    7.65     0.0   79    92           92    +13
10   Kaapse Klopse        2    61.0    10   8.55     6.5   80    80           80    +0
11   Philispiel           7    55.5    11   8.75     0.0   77    82           82    +5
12   Tintamarre           3    61.0    12   17.05    9.5   93    74           83    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Connery 73 96 73 +23 11.0 -
2 Flight Path 75 84 75 +9 6.5 -
3 Rafa's Boy Line 78 79 78 +1 6.5
4 Northern Warrior 75 73 85 -12 0.0 -
5 Jet Legacy 79 89 92 -3 0.0 -
6 Fire Tonic 75 72 69 +3 9.5 -
7 Bless Me Fred 75 62 88 -26 0.0 -
8 Heaven's Will 74 62 68 -6 9.5 -
9 Super Fast 79 83 92 -9 0.0 -
10 Kaapse Klopse 80 60 80 -20 6.5 -
11 Philispiel 77 70 82 -12 0.0 -
12 Tintamarre 93 88 83 +5 9.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points