Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Proud Master 3 60.5 1 0.00 9.5 97 78 97 +0 2 Coin Spinner 3 60.5 2 1.05 9.5 100 78 90 -10 3 Winter Waves 7 53.5 3 2.35 0.0 83 83 83 +0 4 Andy Coogle 2 48.0 4 2.65 6.5 78 59 68 -10 5 Tread Swiftly 4 61.0 5 2.95 11.0 98 76 88 -10 6 Smorgasbord 6 61.5 6 3.85 0.0 99 99 99 +0 7 African Skyline 6 61.5 7 6.95 0.0 99 99 99 +0 8 Hope Is Power 3 53.5 8 8.05 9.5 83 64 73 -10 9 Kupholiwe 2 60.5 9 8.75 6.5 97 84 87 -10 10 Diani 5 61.0 10 11.35 0.0 98 98 98 +0 11 Hot Pearl 2 60.5 11 18.55 6.5 97 84 87 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Proud Master | 97 | 97 | 97 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Coin Spinner | 100 | 101 | 90 | +11 | 9.5 | - | |
| 3 | Winter Waves Line | 83 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Andy Coogle | 78 | 83 | 68 | +15 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Tread Swiftly | 98 | 90 | 88 | +2 | 11.0 | - | |
| 6 | Smorgasbord | 99 | 77 | 99 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | African Skyline | 99 | 98 | 99 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hope Is Power | 83 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Kupholiwe | 97 | 94 | 87 | +7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 10 | Diani | 98 | 96 | 98 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hot Pearl | 97 | 90 | 87 | +3 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points