Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Blush Of Dawn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ginger Delight       3    60.0    1    0.00     7.0   82    54           82    +0
2    Beautiful Rania      3    59.5    2    3.30     7.0   81    54           71    -10
3    Blush Of Dawn        8    57.0    3    5.60     0.0   62    62           62    +0
4    Miss Lialah          4    59.0    4    6.40     4.5   66    57           57    -9
5    Roy Taking Off       4    56.5    5    7.30     4.5   61    52           52    -9
6    Perfect Trust        7    49.5    6    8.70     0.0   55    47           47    -8
7    Kitten's Adventure   3    57.5    7    10.40    7.0   63    49           53    -10
8    I'm Devine           4    54.5    8    99.99    4.5   60    48           50    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ginger Delight 82 85 82 +3 7.0 -
2 Beautiful Rania 81 72 71 +1 7.0 -
3 Blush Of Dawn Line 62 64 62 +2 0.0
4 Miss Lialah 66 65 57 +8 4.5 -
5 Roy Taking Off 61 54 52 +2 4.5 -
6 Perfect Trust 55 50 47 +3 0.0 -
7 Kitten's Adventure 63 58 53 +5 7.0 -
8 I'm Devine 60 60 50 +10 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points