Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 85 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Jet Legacy           5    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   79    79           79    +0
2    Warrior Of Royalty   4    60.0    2    1.30     10.0  85    65           75    -10
3    Trafalgar Square     6    56.0    3    1.90     0.0   77    77           77    +0
4    B Fiftytwo           4    59.5    4    2.15     10.0  84    64           74    -10
5    Fine One             2    58.5    5    2.40     5.5   93    71           83    -10
6    Cold Shine           2    58.0    6    3.00     5.5   92    70           82    -10
7    Stanley Park         2    50.0    7    3.25     5.5   73    54           63    -10
8    Immah                3    53.0    8    3.55     8.5   87    54           77    -10
9    Rugger Lover         2    57.0    9    3.75     5.5   79    68           69    -10
10   Rafa's Boy           2    56.5    10   4.45     5.5   78    67           68    -10
11   Ibhele               3    59.5    11   5.25     8.5   95    67           85    -10
12   Griffin Park         4    53.0    12   6.05     10.0  79    51           69    -10
13   Love In Winter       4    53.0    13   9.35     10.0  74    51           64    -10
99   Apex Predator        4    55.5    99   0.00     10.0  -     56           56    +0
99   Vision To Achieve    4    57.5    99   0.00     10.0  -     60           60    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Jet Legacy 79 89 79 +10 0.0 -
2 Warrior Of Royalty 85 76 75 +1 10.0 -
3 Trafalgar Square Line 77 69 77 -8 0.0
4 B Fiftytwo 84 68 74 -6 10.0 -
5 Fine One 93 84 83 +1 5.5 -
6 Cold Shine 92 77 82 -5 5.5 -
7 Stanley Park 73 69 63 +6 5.5 -
8 Immah 87 82 77 +5 8.5 -
9 Rugger Lover 79 79 69 +10 5.5 -
10 Rafa's Boy 78 79 68 +11 5.5 -
11 Ibhele 95 70 85 -15 8.5 -
12 Griffin Park 79 58 69 -11 10.0 -
13 Love In Winter 74 74 64 +10 10.0 -
99 Apex Predator - 69 56 +13 10.0 -
99 Vision To Achieve - 87 60 +27 10.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points