Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mar Del Plata
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Moya Wa Laliga 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.5 74 69 74 +0 2 Masterbling 3 59.0 2 1.00 7.5 72 67 67 -5 3 Mar Del Plata 2 60.0 3 1.10 5.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Anotherdayinafrica 6 48.0 4 2.20 0.0 50 60 60 +10 5 Music Is Life 2 57.5 5 3.10 5.0 69 69 69 +0 6 Ultra Quick 6 59.5 6 3.40 0.0 76 83 83 +7 7 Fire Tonic 3 60.0 7 4.70 7.5 74 69 69 -5 8 The Ghost 2 60.0 8 4.75 5.0 84 74 74 -10 9 Super Fast 5 60.0 9 5.25 0.0 74 84 84 +10 10 Lions Eye 2 60.0 10 8.05 5.0 74 74 74 +0 11 Silver Savage 2 59.0 11 8.55 5.0 72 72 72 +0 12 Stanley Park 2 58.0 12 14.95 5.0 70 70 70 +0 13 Daring Act 4 52.5 13 15.85 9.0 59 51 51 -8 99 Professor Lupin 4 62.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moya Wa Laliga | 74 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Masterbling | 72 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mar Del Plata Line | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Anotherdayinafrica | 50 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Music Is Life | 69 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ultra Quick | 76 | 71 | 83 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fire Tonic | 74 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | The Ghost | 84 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Super Fast | 74 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lions Eye | 74 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Silver Savage | 72 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Stanley Park | 70 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Daring Act | 59 | 60 | 51 | +9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Professor Lupin | - | 67 | 70 | -3 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points