Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Apex Predator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Northern Warrior     7    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   75    84           81    +6
2    Apex Predator        4    58.0    2    1.60     6.0   76    76           76    +0
3    Ibhele               3    60.0    3    1.90     5.0   87    82           82    -5
4    B Fiftytwo           4    59.5    4    2.80     6.0   79    79           79    +0
5    Ndaka                3    53.0    5    3.10     5.0   74    68           68    -6
6    Trafalgar Square     6    56.0    6    4.30     0.0   72    84           84    +12
7    Professor Lupin      4    58.5    7    5.30     6.0   77    77           77    +0
8    Chara Sands          3    53.5    8    8.20     5.0   75    69           69    -6
9    Andy Coogle          2    59.5    9    9.30     3.5   79    84           84    +5
10   Bless Me Fred        6    53.0    10   9.40     0.0   74    78           78    +4
11   Boom Shakalaka       2    52.5    11   9.90     3.5   80    70           70    -10
12   Lightning Jimmy      4    52.0    12   16.90    6.0   61    64           64    +3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Northern Warrior 75 73 81 -8 0.0 -
2 Apex Predator Line 76 69 76 -7 6.0
3 Ibhele 87 70 82 -12 5.0 -
4 B Fiftytwo 79 68 79 -11 6.0 -
5 Ndaka 74 61 68 -7 5.0 -
6 Trafalgar Square 72 69 84 -15 0.0 -
7 Professor Lupin 77 67 77 -10 6.0 -
8 Chara Sands 75 70 69 +1 5.0 -
9 Andy Coogle 79 83 84 -1 3.5 -
10 Bless Me Fred 74 62 78 -16 0.0 -
11 Boom Shakalaka 80 57 70 -13 3.5 -
12 Lightning Jimmy 61 48 64 -16 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points