Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 101 & below)
Line Horse
Jet Legacy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Smorgasbord 6 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 84 92 90 +6 2 Twenty One May 3 55.5 2 0.05 4.5 89 83 83 -6 3 Jet Legacy 5 51.5 3 0.30 0.0 84 84 84 +0 4 War Empress 5 57.5 4 1.20 0.0 92 96 96 +4 5 Philispiel 7 48.5 5 2.00 0.0 77 78 78 +1 6 Northern Warrior 7 52.5 6 2.40 0.0 81 86 86 +5 7 Sign Of Fate 4 54.5 7 2.90 5.0 86 80 80 -6 8 Connery 4 57.5 8 3.60 5.0 96 86 86 -10 9 Quandary 5 58.5 9 4.30 0.0 90 98 98 +8 10 Warrior Of Royalty 4 57.0 10 4.35 5.0 85 85 85 +0 11 Apex Predator 4 52.5 11 4.85 5.0 76 76 76 +0 12 Kalahari Roller 3 50.0 12 5.55 4.5 86 72 76 -10 13 One Too Many 3 57.0 13 11.75 4.5 85 86 86 +1 14 Linkin Navigator 2 56.0 14 24.65 3.0 89 87 87 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smorgasbord | 84 | 77 | 90 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Twenty One May | 89 | 91 | 83 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Jet Legacy Line | 84 | 89 | 84 | +5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | War Empress | 92 | 92 | 96 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Philispiel | 77 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Northern Warrior | 81 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sign Of Fate | 86 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Connery | 96 | 96 | 86 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Quandary | 90 | 88 | 98 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Warrior Of Royalty | 85 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Apex Predator | 76 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Kalahari Roller | 86 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 13 | One Too Many | 85 | 79 | 86 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 14 | Linkin Navigator | 89 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points