Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 96)
Line Horse
Future Flo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quandary 5 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 89 99 95 +6 2 Rich Folks Hoax 3 54.0 2 0.10 3.0 88 88 88 +0 3 Future Flo 4 54.5 3 0.60 3.5 88 88 88 +0 4 King Of Spin 3 56.0 4 1.30 3.0 88 92 92 +4 5 Thisiswhatitmeans 4 58.0 5 2.40 3.5 92 95 95 +3 6 Smorgasbord 6 55.0 6 3.40 0.0 86 96 96 +10 7 Except Temptation 2 57.0 7 4.40 2.0 90 96 96 +6 8 Connery 4 60.0 8 5.30 3.5 96 99 99 +3 9 Mexican Pete 3 56.5 9 5.40 3.0 89 93 93 +4 10 Shampompo Shampizi 7 59.5 10 5.70 0.0 95 105 105 +10 11 Mr Henley 2 55.5 11 6.40 2.0 87 93 93 +6 12 Vihaan's Web 2 55.5 12 8.30 2.0 91 93 93 +2 99 Hope Is Power 3 49.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Acacia's Blossom 2 55.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 93 93 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quandary | 89 | 88 | 95 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rich Folks Hoax | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Future Flo Line | 88 | 95 | 88 | +7 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | King Of Spin | 88 | 91 | 92 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Thisiswhatitmeans | 92 | 106 | 95 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Smorgasbord | 86 | 77 | 96 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Except Temptation | 90 | 84 | 96 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Connery | 96 | 96 | 99 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mexican Pete | 89 | 84 | 93 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Shampompo Shampizi | 95 | 93 | 105 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mr Henley | 87 | 82 | 93 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Vihaan's Web | 91 | 107 | 93 | +14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hope Is Power | - | 80 | 79 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Acacia's Blossom | - | 66 | 93 | -27 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points