Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: DAVE BULLOCK, DOUGLAS ROPER, SIMON RAHILLY, LAWRENCE RILEY MR 106 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cosmic Star
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ready To Charge 2 61.0 1 0.00 2.0 108 110 108 +0 2 Cosmic Star 3 60.0 2 0.30 3.0 106 106 106 +0 3 Chyavana 3 59.0 3 2.10 3.0 104 104 104 +0 4 One Fell Swoop 2 58.5 4 2.30 2.0 103 105 105 +2 5 Yamadori 4 57.0 5 3.90 3.5 100 99 99 -1 6 Magic Tattoo 5 59.5 6 4.20 0.0 105 111 111 +6 99 Dreamland 4 57.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 100 100 +0 99 Sheldon 6 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 114 114 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ready To Charge | 108 | 110 | 108 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cosmic Star Line | 106 | 105 | 106 | -1 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Chyavana | 104 | 106 | 104 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | One Fell Swoop | 103 | 97 | 105 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Yamadori | 100 | 97 | 99 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Magic Tattoo | 105 | 93 | 111 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dreamland | - | 103 | 100 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sheldon | - | 106 | 114 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points