A speed figure rates how fast the horse ran, not where it finished — so a horse can win slowly (low figure) or run fast in defeat (high one). The scale is built so runs at different tracks, trips and going are directly comparable.
Par. For each track + distance + going we take the median winning time across years of races — the time a normal winner clocks there. Each runner's time is estimated as the winner's time plus its lengths behind (converted to seconds at that race's pace). The figure is then:
Speed = 100 − 2 × (lengths slower than par).
So 100 = par-winning pace, and roughly every 2 points = one length. Above 100 is faster than the standard winner, below is slower.
From this horse's best winning run 13 Mar 2017 · Flamingo Park 1800m (Standard): it won in 112.21s against a par of 114.24s — about 13.6 lengths faster than the standard winner → Speed 127.
Estimated from the winner's time plus beaten lengths (individual clockings aren't published), so it carries some margin of error. It doesn't account for in-race pace or wind. Races with an unreliable winning time (more than ~25 lengths off par) are dropped, beaten lengths are capped at 20, and figures are bounded to 30–140.
Weight-adjusted line. The dashed line normalises each run to a reference of 58 kg carried — the approximate level-weight standard in South African handicap racing. A horse that carried more gets credit (figure rises); one on a lighter load has the advantage removed (figure falls). Conversion: 1 length per 2 kg per 2000 m — so 62 kg in a 1600 m race = +2.5 pts; 55 kg = −1.9 pts. Runs with no weight on record stay at the raw figure.
This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing this horse with the same 1-unit bet every time it runs, at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when it wins at a price that outweighs the losing runs, falling on a losing streak. It asks whether blindly backing the horse would have made money, a tougher test than its win count alone.
Each run settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a win at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a win at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This horse's record 43 runs with a priced SP, staking 43 units in total → a profit of +15.8 units, an ROI of +36.7% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runs with a recorded SP are counted, so this bet total can be lower than the horse's total runs. It assumes you back it at SP every single time, with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Date | Venue | Race | Dist | Pos | Jockey | Draw | Weight | MR Pre | Lengths | Odds | Equip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2017 | Flamingo Park | R6 — WWW.ITSARUSH.CO.ZA (MR 74) HANDICAP | 1800m | 9 | Mr C Zackey | 13 | 60.0kg | 74 | +33.00 | 44/1 | |
| 10 Jul 2017 | Flamingo Park | R8 — TELLYTRACK.COM PINNACLE STAKES | 2200m | 10 | Mr L M van Rensburg | 6 | 58.5kg | 76 | +32.00 | 30/1 | |
| 26 Jun 2017 | Flamingo Park | R8 — BOOK A TABLE 011 6811702 PINNACLE STAKES… | 1400m | 9 | Mr L A Bester | 9 | 53.0kg | 77 | +6.00 | 30/1 | |
| 12 Jun 2017 | Flamingo Park | R5 — WWW.ITSARUSH.CO.ZA PINNACLE STAKES (ALL … | 1800m | 4 | Mr J Penny | 10 | 55.0kg | 78 | +13.25 | 17/2 | |
| 22 May 2017 | Flamingo Park | R4 — TAB (MR 78) HANDICAP | 1800m | 9 | Mr C R Maujean | 3 | 60.0kg | 78 | +17.00 | 7/2Fav | |
| 04 May 2017 | Vaal | R7 — TELLYTRACK.COM (MR 66) HANDICAP | 2000m | 6 | Mr M J Thackeray | 13 | 56.5kg | 59 | +2.95 | 14/1 | |
| 24 Apr 2017 | Flamingo Park | R6 — NORTHERN CAPE STAYERS HANDICAP (NON-BLAC… | 2200m | 2 | Mr T Godden | 6 | 53.5kg | 76 | +5.25 | 59/10 | |
| 13 Mar 2017 | Flamingo Park | R8 — FLAMINGO PARK HANDICAP (NON-BLACK-TYPE) | 1800m | 1 | Mr C Zackey | 6 | 54.0kg | 72 | Won | 7/1 | |
| 13 Feb 2017 | Flamingo Park | R5 — CHAMPIONS DAY 6 MAY (MR 78) HANDICAP | 1600m | 3 | Mr R M Simons | 1 | 57.0kg | 72 | +9.25 | 3/1Fav | |
| 23 Jan 2017 | Flamingo Park | R6 — CHAMPIONS DAY 6 MAY 2017 PINNACLE STAKES… | 1800m | 1 | Mr M Mjoka | 3 | 46.0kg* | 69 | Won | 11/2Fav | |
| 16 Jan 2017 | Flamingo Park | R6 — VALENTINES DINNER DANCE BOOK NOW 011 681… | 1800m | 3 | Mr M Mjoka | 2 | 57.5kg* | 69 | +2.75 | 9/2Fav | |
| 12 Dec 2016 | Flamingo Park | R3 — SOCCER 13 XTRA (MR 68) HANDICAP | 1800m | 1 | Mr M A Yeni | 12 | 57.0kg | 62 | Won | 9/2Fav | |
| 05 Dec 2016 | Flamingo Park | R3 — SOCCER 13 XTRA (MR 84) HANDICAP | 2200m | 2 | Mr M A Yeni | 6 | 52.0kg | 63 | +1.75 | 9/2Fav | |
| 28 Nov 2016 | Flamingo Park | R3 — COMPUTAFORM EXPRESS (MR 66) HANDICAP | 1800m | 4 | Mr C Zackey | 13 | 58.5kg | 63 | +7.00 | 8/1 | |
| 07 Nov 2016 | Flamingo Park | R5 — CATCH ALL THE INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS 20 N… | 2200m | 4 | Mr C Zackey | 1 | 59.5kg | 63 | +9.00 | 2/1Fav | |
| 31 Oct 2016 | Flamingo Park | R8 — BOOK A TABLE 011 6811702 (MR 66) HANDICA… | 1800m | 3 | Mr C Zackey | 9 | 58.5kg | 63 | +5.50 | 10/1 | |
| 24 Oct 2016 | Flamingo Park | R6 — CHARITY MILE ENTRANCE TICKETS AT COMPUTI… | 1600m | 4 | Mr C Zackey | 9 | 55.5kg | 63 | +8.25 | 6/1 | |
| 26 Sep 2016 | Flamingo Park | R2 — THE GRAND HERITAGE 1 OCTOBER (MR 78) HAN… | 2200m | 1 | Mr M A Yeni | 2 | 52.0kg | 60 | Won | 18/10Fav | |
| 12 Sep 2016 | Flamingo Park | R5 — LIVE ENTERTAINMENT BY DJ VIN DEYSEL (MR … | 1800m | 2 | Mr C Ngcobo | 6 | 56.0kg* | 57 | +3.25 | 12/1 | |
| 29 Aug 2016 | Flamingo Park | R3 — SOCCER 13 XTRA (MR 72) HANDICAP | 2200m | 1 | Mr C Ngcobo | 2 | 52.0kg* | 55 | Won | 20/1 | |
| 22 Aug 2016 | Flamingo Park | R6 — SOCCER 13 XTRA (MR 76) HANDICAP | 1800m | 6 | Mr A Balloo | 1 | 49.5kg* | 59 | +16.75 | 16/1 | |
| 15 Aug 2016 | Flamingo Park | R9 — NEXT FLAMINGO PARK RACE MEETING IS MONDA… | 1600m | 3 | Mr G Wrogemann | 7 | 56.5kg | 59 | +7.00 | 10/1 | |
| 08 Jun 2016 | Scottsville | R8 — ALPHA PHARMACY 484 CHURCH STREET (MR 74)… | 2400m | 8 | Mr A Balloo | 9 | 50.5kg* | 60 | +14.00 | 75/1 | |
| 29 Apr 2016 | Greyville | R7 — MORRIS VEE MIDDLE STAKES | 1900m | 5 | Mr C J Habib | 5 | 51.5kg* | 61 | +6.25 | 25/1 | |
| 08 Apr 2016 | Greyville | R6 — TREVOR FOURIE RACING (MR 69) HANDICAP | 1600m | 6 | Mr K de Melo | 7 | 56.5kg | 62 | +2.10 | 16/1 | |
| 11 Mar 2016 | Greyville | R8 — TECHNIQUE SHOPFITTERS (MR 70) HANDICAP | 1600m | 7 | Mr E Ngwane | 7 | 54.5kg* | 64 | +10.25 | 10/1 | |
| 14 Feb 2016 | Scottsville | R7 — FUN CORAL PLAYCENTRE (MR 64) HANDICAP | 1600m | 4 | Mr A Marcus | 1 | 60.0kg | 64 | +2.25 | 3/1Fav | |
| 29 Jan 2016 | Greyville | R7 — LIGHTNING SHOT BAR (MR 65) HANDICAP | 1400m | 4 | Mr D S Lembethe | 2 | 59.5kg | 64 | +1.75 | 7/2Fav | |
| 16 Jan 2016 | Greyville | R7 — ITSARUSH.CO.ZA (MR 80) HANDICAP | 1600m | 3 | Mr K B Jupp | 4 | 52.0kg | 64 | +2.25 | 14/1 | |
| 30 Dec 2015 | Greyville | R3 — ALL TO COME (MR 70) HANDICAP | 1600m | 6 | Mr A Mgudlwa | 4 | 58.5kg | 67 | +3.30 | 35/1 | |
| 29 Nov 2015 | Greyville | R2 — PALMCREST INDUSTRIAL CENTRE (MR 66) HAND… | 1600m | Unplaced | Mr M A Yeni | 7 | 60.5kg | — | — | 10/1 | |
| 10 Nov 2015 | Greyville | R2 — ALL TO COME (MR 70) HANDICAP | 1400m | 7 | Mr A Balloo | 6 | 56.0kg* | 67 | +5.60 | 10/1 | |
| 18 Aug 2015 | Greyville | R3 — TRACK & BALL GAMING MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 1 | Mr A Balloo | 6 | 56.0kg* | 65 | Won | 14/1 | |
| 02 Aug 2015 | Greyville | R3 — JACK MOODLEY MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 2 | Mr D Dillon | 6 | 60.0kg | 67 | +3.75 | 8/1 | |
| 13 Jun 2015 | Scottsville | R4 — MGUNGUNDLOVU SECURITY SERVICES MAIDEN PL… | 1400m | 6 | Mr D Dillon | 12 | 60.0kg | 69 | +3.95 | 8/1 | |
| 17 May 2015 | Greyville | R7 — RMT MOTOR SPARES MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 2 | Mr D Dillon | 6 | 60.0kg | 67 | +0.25 | 8/1 | |
| 24 Apr 2015 | Greyville | R2 — SEBASTIAN'S PHARMACY MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 3 | Mr L Mxothwa | 5 | 60.0kg* | 62 | +1.25 | 40/1 | |
| 27 Mar 2015 | Greyville | R8 — ON-TIME INSURANCE BROKERS MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 5 | Mr D Dillon | 6 | 60.0kg | 62 | +6.50 | 66/1 | |
| 15 Mar 2015 | Greyville | R8 — MEXT TRADING MAIDEN PLATE | 2000m | 11 | Mr D Dillon | 6 | 60.0kg | 62 | +13.15 | 16/1 | |
| 10 Feb 2015 | Greyville | R8 — RACING. IT'S A RUSH MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 6 | Mr S D Veale | 10 | 60.0kg | 64 | +4.35 | 16/1 | |
| 25 Jan 2015 | Scottsville | R9 — THE JACKPOT QUICKMIX MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 7 | Mr K S Latham | 13 | 59.0kg | 68 | +5.75 | 12/1 | |
| 19 Dec 2014 | Greyville | R1 — IDOLS CLOTHING MAIDEN PLATE | 1400m | 5 | Mr A C Delpech | 7 | 59.0kg | — | +2.30 | 6/1 | |
| 11 Oct 2014 | Turffontein | R4 — OASYS MAIDEN PLATE | 1200m | 10 | Mr P J Strydom | 10 | 59.0kg | — | +16.50 | 3/1 | |
| 07 Sep 2014 | Scottsville | R3 — MBK AGENCIES MAIDEN PLATE (3 YEAR OLDS) | 1200m | 6 | Mr D Dillon | 5 | 58.0kg* | — | +6.00 | 33/1 |