A speed figure rates how fast the horse ran, not where it finished — so a horse can win slowly (low figure) or run fast in defeat (high one). The scale is built so runs at different tracks, trips and going are directly comparable.
Par. For each track + distance + going we take the median winning time across years of races — the time a normal winner clocks there. Each runner's time is estimated as the winner's time plus its lengths behind (converted to seconds at that race's pace). The figure is then:
Speed = 100 − 2 × (lengths slower than par).
So 100 = par-winning pace, and roughly every 2 points = one length. Above 100 is faster than the standard winner, below is slower.
From this horse's best winning run 05 Mar 2018 · Flamingo Park 1400m (Standard): it won in 86.04s against a par of 87.0s — about 6.5 lengths faster than the standard winner → Speed 113.
Estimated from the winner's time plus beaten lengths (individual clockings aren't published), so it carries some margin of error. It doesn't account for in-race pace or wind. Races with an unreliable winning time (more than ~25 lengths off par) are dropped, beaten lengths are capped at 20, and figures are bounded to 30–140.
Weight-adjusted line. The dashed line normalises each run to a reference of 58 kg carried — the approximate level-weight standard in South African handicap racing. A horse that carried more gets credit (figure rises); one on a lighter load has the advantage removed (figure falls). Conversion: 1 length per 2 kg per 2000 m — so 62 kg in a 1600 m race = +2.5 pts; 55 kg = −1.9 pts. Runs with no weight on record stay at the raw figure.
This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing this horse with the same 1-unit bet every time it runs, at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when it wins at a price that outweighs the losing runs, falling on a losing streak. It asks whether blindly backing the horse would have made money, a tougher test than its win count alone.
Each run settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a win at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a win at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This horse's record 34 runs with a priced SP, staking 34 units in total → a loss of -8.3 units, an ROI of -24.4% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runs with a recorded SP are counted, so this bet total can be lower than the horse's total runs. It assumes you back it at SP every single time, with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Date | Venue | Race | Dist | Pos | Jockey | Draw | Weight | MR Pre | Lengths | Odds | Equip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun 2019 | Flamingo Park | R4 — TAB PAYS THE FULL DIVIDEND, NO LIMITS (M… | 1200m | 12 | Mr D R Lerena | 8 | 59.0kg* | 73 | +11.25 | 20/1 | |
| 06 May 2019 | Flamingo Park | R9 — PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 (MR 78) HANDICA… | 1300m | 6 | Mr Wesley Marwing | 4 | 60.0kg | 78 | +8.30 | 31/4 | |
| 08 Apr 2019 | Flamingo Park | R6 — BETTING WORLD - 087 741 2777 PINNACLE ST… | 1600m | 8 | Mr R Danielson | 10 | 56.5kg | 79 | +8.50 | 28/1 | |
| 04 Mar 2019 | Flamingo Park | R7 — FLAMINGO PARK HANDICAP (NON BLACK TYPE) | 1800m | 9 | Mr D R Lerena | 14 | 55.5kg* | 81 | +18.50 | 22/1 | |
| 18 Feb 2019 | Flamingo Park | R7 — KIMBERLEY 1400 (NON BLACK TYPE) | 1400m | 4 | Mr D de Gouveia | 1 | 56.0kg | 83 | +5.25 | 15/1 | |
| 21 Jan 2019 | Flamingo Park | R8 — WWW.INTERBET.CO.ZA - 0861 150 160 PINNAC… | 1400m | 5 | Mr M A Yeni | 5 | 55.5kg | 86 | +9.00 | 9/1 | |
| 26 Nov 2018 | Flamingo Park | R6 — SONAL JACKPOT SPECIAL PINNACLE STAKES (A… | 1400m | 8 | Mr J Penny | 9 | 57.0kg | 89 | +14.50 | 13/1 | |
| 29 Oct 2018 | Flamingo Park | R5 — BETTING WORLD - 087 741 2777 PINNACLE ST… | 1600m | 4 | Mr F M Herholdt | 1 | 57.0kg | 89 | +6.50 | 18/1 | |
| 17 Sep 2018 | Flamingo Park | R8 — RACING ASSOCIATION PINNACLE STAKES (ALL … | 1400m | Unplaced | Mr F M Herholdt | 11 | 57.0kg | — | — | 71/10 | |
| 27 Aug 2018 | Flamingo Park | R4 — TAB PAYS THE FULL DIVIDEND, NO LIMITS PI… | 1800m | 5 | Mr F M Herholdt | 1 | 58.5kg | 90 | +7.00 | 61/20 | |
| 04 Aug 2018 | Flamingo Park | R7 — RA FLAMINGO MILE (NON BLACK TYPE) | 1600m | 3 | Mr F M Herholdt | 8 | 54.0kg | 90 | +3.25 | 10/3Fav | |
| 11 Jun 2018 | Flamingo Park | R6 — BET ON SOCCER 6 PINNACLE STAKES (ALL HOR… | 1400m | 2 | Mr D R Lerena | 2 | 56.5kg* | 90 | +0.20 | 61/20 | |
| 04 Jun 2018 | Flamingo Park | R7 — SUPABETS - 0861 76 22 37 PINNACLE STAKES… | 1800m | 3 | Mr F M Herholdt | 13 | 60.0kg | 90 | +1.60 | 4/1Fav | |
| 14 May 2018 | Flamingo Park | R5 — TELLYTRACK PINNACLE STAKES | 1600m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 8 | 58.5kg | 90 | +1.25 | 61/20 | |
| 26 Mar 2018 | Flamingo Park | R7 — WWW.TABONLINE.CO.ZA PINNACLE STAKES | 1600m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 3 | 58.0kg | 90 | +7.25 | 4/1Fav | |
| 05 Mar 2018 | Flamingo Park | R4 — TAB TELEBET - 0861 000 822 (MR 76) HANDI… | 1400m | 1 | Mr F M Herholdt | 6 | 60.0kg | 76 | Won | 17/10Fav | |
| 19 Feb 2018 | Flamingo Park | R5 — WWW.INTERBET.CO.ZA - 0861 150 160 (MR 77… | 1600m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 5 | 58.0kg | 73 | +2.00 | 61/20Fav | |
| 08 Jan 2018 | Flamingo Park | R6 — TELLYTRACK (MR 78) HANDICAP | 1600m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 3 | 56.0kg | 70 | +2.25 | 10/3 | |
| 18 Dec 2017 | Flamingo Park | R10 — NEXT FLAMINGO RACEMEETING MONDAY 8 JANUA… | 1400m | 1 | Mr F M Herholdt | 4 | 58.5kg | 65 | Won | 5/2Fav | |
| 27 Nov 2017 | Flamingo Park | R7 — TAB PAYS THE FULL DIVIDEND, NO LIMITS (M… | 1600m | 1 | Mr E Pheiffer | 10 | 56.5kg | 59 | Won | 9/2 | |
| 06 Nov 2017 | Flamingo Park | R9 — NEXT FLAMINGO RACEMEETING MONDAY 13 NOVE… | 1400m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 7 | 59.5kg | 59 | +0.90 | 7/2Fav | |
| 02 Oct 2017 | Flamingo Park | R9 — NEXT FLAMINGO PARK RACE MEETING MONDAY 9… | 1400m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 10 | 58.0kg | 57 | +2.00 | 59/10 | |
| 11 Sep 2017 | Flamingo Park | R8 — COMPUTAFORM EXPRESS (MR 64) HANDICAP | 1600m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 8 | 56.0kg | 57 | +4.25 | 4/1 | |
| 05 Aug 2017 | Greyville | R6 — RACING. IT'S A RUSH (MR 70) HANDICAP | 1600m | 9 | Mr A Arries | 3 | 52.0kg* | 60 | +8.05 | 8/1 | |
| 12 Jul 2017 | Greyville | R6 — DURBAN VIEW RESTAURANT (MR 65) HANDICAP | 1900m | 5 | Mr D de Gouveia | 3 | 54.5kg* | 60 | +2.60 | 8/1 | |
| 16 Jun 2017 | Greyville | R8 — SERENDIPITY TOURS (MR 78) HANDICAP | 1600m | 10 | Mr E Ngwane | 1 | 52.0kg* | 62 | +8.40 | 50/1 | |
| 24 May 2017 | Greyville | R10 — THE JACKPOT QUICKMIX (MR 66) HANDICAP | 2000m | 3 | Mr D de Gouveia | 3 | 56.5kg* | 64 | +3.00 | 36/1 | |
| 28 Apr 2017 | Greyville | R7 — PROTEA CONSULTING (MR 66) HANDICAP | 1600m | 7 | Mr S M Brown | 4 | 58.5kg | 68 | +5.65 | 25/1 | |
| 19 Apr 2017 | Scottsville | R5 — BLINKERS BAR (MR 78) HANDICAP | 2400m | 7 | Mr A Arries | 6 | 49.5kg* | 70 | +99.99 | 30/1 | |
| 12 Apr 2017 | Greyville | R8 — TRACK & BALL GAMING (MR 70) HANDICAP | 2000m | 11 | Mr E Ngwane | 9 | 56.5kg* | 70 | +8.50 | 14/1 | |
| 24 Mar 2017 | Greyville | R5 — TRACK & BALL GAMING MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 1 | Mr D de Gouveia | 3 | 57.5kg* | 53 | Won | 13/1 | |
| 26 Feb 2017 | Scottsville | R5 — NATAL ASSOCIATED AGENCIES MAIDEN PLATE | 1750m | 9 | Mr D de Gouveia | 2 | 57.5kg* | 56 | +26.55 | 10/1 | |
| 12 Feb 2017 | Scottsville | R3 — ROCKAFELLA'S RESTAURANT MAIDEN PLATE | 1400m | 5 | Mr D de Gouveia | 5 | 57.5kg* | — | +4.75 | 9/1 | |
| 01 Feb 2017 | Scottsville | R9 — ITSARUSH.CO.ZA MAIDEN PLATE | 1400m | 8 | Mr D de Gouveia | 10 | 57.5kg* | — | +5.25 | 11/1 | |
| 01 Jan 2017 | Greyville | R2 — DOWNLOAD THE tabGOLD INFORMATION APP MAI… | 1400m | 6 | Mr R Munger | 4 | 59.0kg | — | +11.00 | 22/1 |