A speed figure rates how fast the horse ran, not where it finished — so a horse can win slowly (low figure) or run fast in defeat (high one). The scale is built so runs at different tracks, trips and going are directly comparable.
Par. For each track + distance + going we take the median winning time across years of races — the time a normal winner clocks there. Each runner's time is estimated as the winner's time plus its lengths behind (converted to seconds at that race's pace). The figure is then:
Speed = 100 − 2 × (lengths slower than par).
So 100 = par-winning pace, and roughly every 2 points = one length. Above 100 is faster than the standard winner, below is slower.
From this horse's best winning run 26 Feb 2022 · Kenilworth 1200m (Good): it won in 73.06s against a par of 72.75s — about 2.1 lengths slower than the standard winner → Speed 96.
Estimated from the winner's time plus beaten lengths (individual clockings aren't published), so it carries some margin of error. It doesn't account for in-race pace or wind. Races with an unreliable winning time (more than ~25 lengths off par) are dropped, beaten lengths are capped at 20, and figures are bounded to 30–140.
Weight-adjusted line. The dashed line normalises each run to a reference of 58 kg carried — the approximate level-weight standard in South African handicap racing. A horse that carried more gets credit (figure rises); one on a lighter load has the advantage removed (figure falls). Conversion: 1 length per 2 kg per 2000 m — so 62 kg in a 1600 m race = +2.5 pts; 55 kg = −1.9 pts. Runs with no weight on record stay at the raw figure.
This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing this horse with the same 1-unit bet every time it runs, at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when it wins at a price that outweighs the losing runs, falling on a losing streak. It asks whether blindly backing the horse would have made money, a tougher test than its win count alone.
Each run settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a win at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a win at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This horse's record 21 runs with a priced SP, staking 21 units in total → a loss of -10.2 units, an ROI of -48.6% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runs with a recorded SP are counted, so this bet total can be lower than the horse's total runs. It assumes you back it at SP every single time, with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Date | Venue | Race | Dist | Pos | Jockey | Draw | Weight | MR Pre | Lengths | Odds | Equip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2024 | Greyville | R10 — WSB Thanks you for joining us MR 87 HAND… | 1000m | Unplaced | Mr R D Fourie | 2 | 56.5kg | — | — | 4/1 | |
| 18 Apr 2024 | Greyville | R3 — www.tabgold.co.za FM 86 HANDICAP (F & M)… | 1200m | 7 | Mr R D Fourie | 3 | 57.0kg | 80 | +8.70 | 4/1 | |
| 06 Nov 2023 | Greyville | R4 — FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST FM 72 HAN… | 1000m | 1 | Mr R D Fourie | 9 | 61.5kg | 75 | Won | 18/10Fav | |
| 06 Sep 2023 | Greyville | R7 — GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE FM 76 HANDIC… | 1200m | 8 | Mr T J Mayhew | 5 | 55.5kg* | 75 | +8.90 | 13/10Fav | |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Greyville | R7 — ONLINE FORM GUIDE www.gallop.co.za FM 78… | 1000m | 2 | Mr T J Mayhew | 7 | 54.5kg* | 75 | +0.60 | 33/10 | |
| 16 Aug 2023 | Greyville | R7 — www.tabgold.co.za FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M)… | 1200m | 2 | Mr R D Fourie | 7 | 60.0kg | 75 | +0.20 | 28/10Fav | |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Greyville | R7 — GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL FM 78… | 1400m | 4 | Mr D Daniels | 3 | 59.0kg | 78 | +6.10 | 10/1 | |
| 17 Jun 2023 | Scottsville | R5 — TRACK AND BALL - DANMA MR 92 HANDICAP (O… | 1200m | 11 | Mr D Daniels | 1 | 53.5kg | 81 | +5.40 | 40/1 | |
| 22 May 2023 | Scottsville | R9 — Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 84 HANDIC… | 1200m | 8 | Mr G J Lerena | 8 | 58.5kg | 84 | +13.40 | 8/1 | |
| 06 May 2023 | Greyville | R9 — THE INDEPENDENT ON SATURDAY ARTS & PLEAS… | 1000m | 5 | Mr K de Melo | 9 | 59.0kg | 85 | +3.60 | 28/10Fav | |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Greyville | R5 — TABGOLD SCORE6 AND SCORE10 FM 78 HANDICA… | 1000m | 2 | Mr J Gates | 5 | 61.5kg | 85 | +0.10 | 4/1 | |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Kenilworth | R11 — WORLD POOL THE INVITATIONAL (For all Hor… | 1200m | 10 | Mr S Khumalo | 2 | 60.0kg | 87 | +4.95 | 25/1 | |
| 07 Jan 2023 | Kenilworth | R1 — OKAPI LADIES INTERNATIONAL (For 3yo & ol… | 1200m | 3 | Ms H Richardson | 5 | 59.0kg | 87 | +3.65 | 33/1 | |
| 03 Dec 2022 | Kenilworth | R4 — WILGERBOSDRIFT & MAURITZFONTEIN FM 79 DI… | 1400m | 9 | Mr J Gates | 5 | 60.0kg | 89 | +7.75 | 14/1 | |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Kenilworth | R8 — WESTERN CAPE FILLIES CHAMPIONSHIP (Gr 2)… | 1400m | 9 | Mr J Gates | 10 | 60.0kg | 89 | +5.15 | 80/1 | |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Kenilworth | R5 — PRESTIGE PLATE (For 3-year-old Filllies.… | 1400m | 8 | Mr C Zackey | 3 | 57.0kg | 89 | +3.45 | 50/1 | |
| 05 Oct 2022 | Durbanville | R8 — www.tabonline.co.za MIDDLE STAKES (F & M… | 1250m | 5 | Mr L Tarentaal | 4 | 52.5kg | 89 | +2.90 | 25/1 | |
| 02 Jul 2022 | Greyville | R5 — ZULU KINGDOM EXPLORER GOLDEN SLIPPER (Gr… | 1400m | Unplaced | Mr J Gates | 8 | 60.0kg | — | — | 40/1 | |
| 04 Jun 2022 | Scottsville | R5 — ALLAN ROBERTSON CHAMPIONSHIP (Grade 1) (… | 1200m | 12 | Mr J Gates | 7 | 60.0kg | — | +13.70 | 66/1 | |
| 18 Mar 2022 | Fairview | R7 — EAST CAPE FILLIES NURSERY (Listed) (For … | 1200m | 4 | Mr R D Fourie | 5 | 60.0kg | — | +3.75 | 63/100Fav | |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Kenilworth | R8 — BSA CAPE YEARLING SALE CUP (For 2 year o… | 1200m | 1 | Mr K de Melo | 8 | 57.5kg | — | Won | 4/1 | |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Kenilworth | R5 — CITY OF CAPE TOWN SUMMER JUVENILE STAKES… | 1000m | 6 | Mr M A Winnaar | 11 | 57.5kg | — | +6.75 | 20/1 | |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Kenilworth | R2 — TABONLINE.CO.ZA MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (F… | 900m | 1 | Mr M A Winnaar | 6 | 60.0kg | — | Won | 2/1 |