Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Mar Del Plata
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Gorgeous Guy         2    59.5    1    0.00     1.0   76    76           76    +0
2    All The Time         3    60.5    2    0.20     2.0   76    76           76    +0
3    Mar Del Plata        2    60.0    3    1.10     1.0   77    77           77    +0
4    Bless Me Fred        6    61.0    4    1.35     0.0   77    81           81    +4
5    Intrepid             3    57.0    5    2.25     2.0   77    69           69    -8
6    Captain Who          4    57.5    6    2.50     2.5   70    69           69    -1
7    Fire Tonic           3    59.0    7    3.10     2.0   73    73           73    +0
8    Professor Lupin      4    58.5    8    3.15     2.5   74    71           71    -3
9    Northern Warrior     7    53.5    9    4.15     0.0   70    66           66    -4
10   El Draque            5    59.0    10   5.05     0.0   73    77           77    +4
11   Questo E Quello      3    57.0    11   5.95     2.0   79    69           69    -10
12   Gimme A Rainbow      4    60.5    12   6.05     2.5   76    75           75    -1
13   Daring Act           4    59.5    13   7.65     2.5   76    73           73    -3
14   Stanley Park         2    60.5    14   8.05     1.0   76    78           78    +2
15   Avro Prince          3    59.0    15   12.45    2.0   75    73           73    -2
16   Plettenberg          3    57.0    16   15.15    2.0   74    69           69    -5
99   Cotton Ron           6    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     68           68    +0
99   Approachable Lass    3    56.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     67           67    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Gorgeous Guy 76 81 76 +5 1.0 -
2 All The Time 76 74 76 -2 2.0 -
3 Mar Del Plata Line 77 77 77 ✓ Match 1.0
4 Bless Me Fred 77 62 81 -19 0.0 -
5 Intrepid 77 73 69 +4 2.0 -
6 Captain Who 70 65 69 -4 2.5 -
7 Fire Tonic 73 72 73 -1 2.0 -
8 Professor Lupin 74 67 71 -4 2.5 -
9 Northern Warrior 70 73 66 +7 0.0 -
10 El Draque 73 57 77 -20 0.0 -
11 Questo E Quello 79 73 69 +4 2.0 -
12 Gimme A Rainbow 76 74 75 -1 2.5 -
13 Daring Act 76 60 73 -13 2.5 -
14 Stanley Park 76 69 78 -9 1.0 -
15 Avro Prince 75 74 73 +1 2.0 -
16 Plettenberg 74 59 69 -10 2.0 -
99 Cotton Ron - 59 68 -9 0.0 -
99 Approachable Lass - 67 67 ✓ Match 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points