This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every ride with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this jockey would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each ride settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This jockey's record 51 rides with a priced SP, staking 51 units in total → a profit of +33.9 units, an ROI of +66.4% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only rides with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total rides. It assumes you take SP on every ride with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Trainer | Rides | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr Darryl R Hodgson | 13 | 7 | 53.8% |
| Mr D M Katz | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Mr S J Snaith | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Mr G R Puller | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr P D Wrensch | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Messrs C J Burger & Riaan van Reenen | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr W A Nel | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Mr E L P Steyn | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr G V Woodruff | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr P D Reeves | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Rides | W |
|---|---|---|
| Silent Choice (AUS) | 2 | 1 |
| Captain Garett | 2 | 1 |
| In Full Regalia | 1 | 1 |
| Emblem Ahoy | 1 | 1 |
| Respectable Rebel | 1 | 1 |
| Peonie Rock | 1 | 1 |
| Pink Rock | 1 | 1 |
| Mark's Glory | 1 | 1 |
| Rocksette | 1 | 1 |
| I Am Captain | 1 | 1 |
| War Trumpet | 1 | 1 |
| Country Rock | 1 | 1 |