This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every ride with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this jockey would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each ride settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This jockey's record 21 rides with a priced SP, staking 21 units in total → a profit of +58.5 units, an ROI of +278.6% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only rides with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total rides. It assumes you take SP on every ride with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Trainer | Rides | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr S J Snaith | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Ms Yvette Bremner | 4 | 2 | 50.0% |
| Mr B J Crawford | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Late Mr N L Bruss | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Estate Late Mr R G Sheehan | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr E L P Steyn | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Rides | W |
|---|---|---|
| Castle | 2 | 1 |
| Lady Ami | 1 | 1 |
| Harvard Crimson | 1 | 1 |
| Western Wonder | 1 | 1 |
| Travel Up Front | 1 | 1 |
| Uncle Jim | 1 | 1 |
| Saint Mary (IRE) | 1 | 1 |
| Alexis | 1 | 0 |
| Trapped In Ice | 1 | 0 |
| Count My Luck | 1 | 0 |
| Rush For Roses | 1 | 0 |
| Big Thaw | 1 | 0 |