A speed figure rates how fast the horse ran, not where it finished — so a horse can win slowly (low figure) or run fast in defeat (high one). The scale is built so runs at different tracks, trips and going are directly comparable.
Par. For each track + distance + going we take the median winning time across years of races — the time a normal winner clocks there. Each runner's time is estimated as the winner's time plus its lengths behind (converted to seconds at that race's pace). The figure is then:
Speed = 100 − 2 × (lengths slower than par).
So 100 = par-winning pace, and roughly every 2 points = one length. Above 100 is faster than the standard winner, below is slower.
From this horse's best winning run 12 Sep 2021 · Scottsville 1600m (Yielding): it won in 96.1s against a par of 97.41s — about 9.1 lengths faster than the standard winner → Speed 118.
Estimated from the winner's time plus beaten lengths (individual clockings aren't published), so it carries some margin of error. It doesn't account for in-race pace or wind. Races with an unreliable winning time (more than ~25 lengths off par) are dropped, beaten lengths are capped at 20, and figures are bounded to 30–140.
Weight-adjusted line. The dashed line normalises each run to a reference of 58 kg carried — the approximate level-weight standard in South African handicap racing. A horse that carried more gets credit (figure rises); one on a lighter load has the advantage removed (figure falls). Conversion: 1 length per 2 kg per 2000 m — so 62 kg in a 1600 m race = +2.5 pts; 55 kg = −1.9 pts. Runs with no weight on record stay at the raw figure.
This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing this horse with the same 1-unit bet every time it runs, at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when it wins at a price that outweighs the losing runs, falling on a losing streak. It asks whether blindly backing the horse would have made money, a tougher test than its win count alone.
Each run settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a win at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a win at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This horse's record 29 runs with a priced SP, staking 29 units in total → a profit of +30.3 units, an ROI of +104.4% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runs with a recorded SP are counted, so this bet total can be lower than the horse's total runs. It assumes you back it at SP every single time, with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Date | Venue | Race | Dist | Pos | Jockey | Draw | Weight | MR Pre | Lengths | Odds | Equip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May 2023 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — CHIBUKU SUPER MERIT RATED 85 HANDICAP (O… | 1600m | Unplaced | Mr F M Herholdt | 1 | 58.5kg | — | — | — | |
| 24 Mar 2023 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — MERIT RATED 80 HANDICAP (Open) | 2200m | 3 | Mr D de Gouveia | 1 | 61.0kg | 82 | +3.25 | — | |
| 10 Mar 2023 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rati… | 1450m | 1 | Mr R Satombo | 5 | 59.0kg | 79 | Won | 6/1 | |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — MERIT RATED 85 HANDICAP (Open) | 1900m | 1 | Mr A Arries | 2 | 56.0kg | 76 | Won | 10/1 | |
| 27 Jan 2023 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — MERIT RATED 80 HANDICAP (Open) | 1800m | 2 | Mr A Arries | 4 | 59.5kg | 76 | +7.00 | 16/1 | |
| 15 Dec 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — HEALTHPOINT STAKEHOLDERS INVITATIONAL ME… | 2000m | 5 | Mr W J Shumba | 4 | 59.0kg | 78 | +14.00 | 10/1 | |
| 04 Dec 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — PINNACLE PLATE 105 (Race for all horses.… | 1800m | 3 | Mr W J Shumba | 5 | 52.0kg | 80 | +4.25 | 10/1 | |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R6 — PINNACLE PLATE 105 (Race for all horses.… | 1200m | 5 | Mr A Arries | 4 | 52.0kg | 80 | +5.55 | 14/1 | |
| 13 Jul 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R6 — PINNACLE PLATE (95) (Race for all horses… | 1600m | 6 | Mr F M Herholdt | 4 | 55.5kg | 80 | +10.25 | 9/2 | |
| 15 Jun 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R5 — ALLOWANCE PLATE (For winners) | 1600m | 1 | Mr D W Schwarz | 6 | 58.5kg | 80 | Won | 3/1 | |
| 04 Jun 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R8 — OK GRAND CHALLENGE (Grade 1) (Open/6th l… | 1800m | 16 | Mr A Arries | 16 | 52.0kg | 82 | +21.10 | 33/1 | |
| 07 May 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R7 — CASTLE TANKARD GRADE 1 (Open/5th leg Ope… | 2000m | 11 | Mr A Arries | 8 | 52.0kg | 83 | +10.25 | 7/1 | |
| 24 Apr 2022 | Borrowdale Park | R4 — ALLOWANCE PLATE (For winners) | 1200m | 2 | Mr W J Shumba | 3 | 55.0kg | 83 | +3.00 | 9/2 | |
| 14 Apr 2022 | Greyville | R9 — Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 84 HANDIC… | 1400m | Unplaced | — | 5 | 59.5kg | — | — | — | |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Greyville | R8 — NTENGA FOUNDATION MR 82 HANDICAP (Open) | 1600m | 4 | Mr K de Melo | 10 | 61.0kg | 84 | +4.10 | 25/2 | |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Scottsville | R7 — www.tabgold.co.za MR 90 HANDICAP (Open) | 1600m | 2 | Mr W B Kennedy | 5 | 57.0kg | 84 | +0.30 | 50/3 | |
| 24 Jan 2022 | Scottsville | R5 — GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 92… | 1400m | 9 | Mr S Khumalo | 2 | 56.5kg | 85 | +5.20 | 25/2 | |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Greyville | R6 — TRACK & BALL GAMING MR 87 HANDICAP (Open… | 1600m | 8 | Mr L M van Rensburg | 8 | 59.5kg | 86 | +6.10 | 20/1 | |
| 10 Nov 2021 | Greyville | R4 — SOCCER ANY15 MR 89 HANDICAP (Open) | 1900m | Unplaced | — | 6 | 58.0kg | — | — | 25/4 | |
| 08 Nov 2021 | Greyville | R7 — ONLINE FORM GUIDE www.gallop.co.za MR 86… | 1600m | 8 | Miss R A Venniker | 9 | 57.5kg* | 86 | +4.00 | 17/2 | |
| 17 Oct 2021 | Greyville | R7 — MICHAELMAS HANDICAP (Listed) (Handicap) | 1900m | 5 | Mr L Hewitson | 8 | 53.0kg | 86 | +2.40 | 50/7 | |
| 19 Sep 2021 | Scottsville | R8 — Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDIC… | 1750m | 2 | Mr T Godden | 9 | 62.0kg | 84 | +0.50 | 17/2 | |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Scottsville | R5 — MOBILE BETTING VISIT www.trackandball.co… | 1600m | 1 | Mr S Khumalo | 5 | 60.5kg | 77 | Won | 4/1 | |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Scottsville | R6 — GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 87… | 1750m | 1 | Mr W B Kennedy | 9 | 53.0kg | 75 | Won | 100/7 | |
| 19 Jul 2021 | Greyville | R6 — SOCCER ANY15 NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & … | 1400m | 5 | Mr S D Veale | 4 | 57.5kg | 76 | +2.60 | 5/1 | |
| 28 Jun 2021 | Greyville | R7 — GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 72… | 1400m | 4 | Mr S D Veale | 12 | 60.5kg | 76 | +1.55 | 100/3 | |
| 29 May 2021 | Greyville | R8 — LIFESTYLE MR 80 HANDICAP (Open) | 1400m | 9 | Mr L Hewitson | 9 | 57.0kg | 78 | +7.75 | 25/2 | |
| 02 May 2021 | Greyville | R10 — THE INDEPENDENT ON SATURDAY INSIDER MR 7… | 1400m | 3 | Mr G J Lerena | 10 | 58.0kg | 78 | +0.75 | 40/1 | |
| 24 Mar 2021 | Greyville | R6 — SOCCER ANY15 NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & … | 1600m | 9 | Mr S D Veale | 7 | 56.0kg | 78 | +8.30 | 20/1 | |
| 18 Jan 2021 | Greyville | R1 — DOWNLOAD THE RACE CARD ONLINE www.goldci… | 1400m | 1 | Mr W G Agrella | 9 | 59.0kg | 73 | Won | 16/1 | |
| 13 Dec 2020 | Greyville | R4 — GOLD CIRCLE HORSES TO FOLLOW PODCAST MAI… | 1400m | 5 | Mr L Hewitson | 4 | 59.0kg | — | +4.90 | 12/1 | |
| 08 Nov 2020 | Greyville | R2 — www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all … | 1400m | 7 | Mr L Hewitson | 6 | 58.0kg | — | +5.50 | 18/1 | |
| 18 Oct 2020 | Greyville | R1 — FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK MAIDEN PL… | 1200m | 9 | Mr L Hewitson | 2 | 59.0kg | — | +7.45 | 22/1 |