This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every runner with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this trainer would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each runner settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This trainer's record 61 runners with a priced SP, staking 61 units in total → a profit of +41.3 units, an ROI of +67.8% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runners with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total runners. It assumes you take SP on every runner with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Jockey | Runners | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr J Penny | 10 | 1 | 10.0% |
| Mr G Wrogemann | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Mr R Munger | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr T Lukhele | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr C Storey | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr L A Bester | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr M I Duba | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr F M Herholdt | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Mr D W Schwarz | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Mr S Chambers | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr L Nhlapo | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Late Mr B Mundlovu | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Runners | W |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Stock | 13 | 1 |
| London Dipper | 5 | 1 |
| Evoke | 3 | 1 |
| Majestic Stride | 2 | 1 |
| Ayessaypee | 12 | 0 |
| Game plan | 6 | 0 |
| Border Patrol | 6 | 0 |
| Wells-Cargo | 6 | 0 |
| Starina | 4 | 0 |
| Kwaaiwater | 1 | 0 |
| King | 1 | 0 |
| Walkabout | 1 | 0 |