This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every runner with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this trainer would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each runner settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This trainer's record 91 runners with a priced SP, staking 91 units in total → a profit of +58.8 units, an ROI of +64.6% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runners with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total runners. It assumes you take SP on every runner with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Jockey | Runners | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr C R Maujean | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Mr T Pretorius | 12 | 1 | 8.3% |
| Mr I Sturgeon | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| Mr R M Simons | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Mr R D Fourie | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Mr J G Sampson | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr M I Duba | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| Mr F Naude | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| Mr S M Brown | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Mr M T Ntuli | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr Wesley Marwing | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr M A Yeni | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Runners | W |
|---|---|---|
| Pinot Noir | 9 | 2 |
| Sugar And Shake | 5 | 2 |
| Razzle My Tazzle | 13 | 1 |
| Winter Darling | 8 | 1 |
| Daylamite | 8 | 1 |
| Woodrose | 8 | 1 |
| Mink Trip | 5 | 1 |
| Bambino | 5 | 1 |
| Down Mexico Way | 3 | 1 |
| Latus Blitz | 3 | 1 |
| Dashing Queen | 3 | 1 |
| Celtic Heroine | 3 | 1 |