A speed figure rates how fast the horse ran, not where it finished — so a horse can win slowly (low figure) or run fast in defeat (high one). The scale is built so runs at different tracks, trips and going are directly comparable.
Par. For each track + distance + going we take the median winning time across years of races — the time a normal winner clocks there. Each runner's time is estimated as the winner's time plus its lengths behind (converted to seconds at that race's pace). The figure is then:
Speed = 100 − 2 × (lengths slower than par).
So 100 = par-winning pace, and roughly every 2 points = one length. Above 100 is faster than the standard winner, below is slower.
From this horse's best winning run 05 Oct 2018 · Greyville 1400m (Standard): it won in 84.53s against a par of 83.4s — about 7.8 lengths slower than the standard winner → Speed 84.
Estimated from the winner's time plus beaten lengths (individual clockings aren't published), so it carries some margin of error. It doesn't account for in-race pace or wind. Races with an unreliable winning time (more than ~25 lengths off par) are dropped, beaten lengths are capped at 20, and figures are bounded to 30–140.
Weight-adjusted line. The dashed line normalises each run to a reference of 58 kg carried — the approximate level-weight standard in South African handicap racing. A horse that carried more gets credit (figure rises); one on a lighter load has the advantage removed (figure falls). Conversion: 1 length per 2 kg per 2000 m — so 62 kg in a 1600 m race = +2.5 pts; 55 kg = −1.9 pts. Runs with no weight on record stay at the raw figure.
This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing this horse with the same 1-unit bet every time it runs, at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when it wins at a price that outweighs the losing runs, falling on a losing streak. It asks whether blindly backing the horse would have made money, a tougher test than its win count alone.
Each run settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a win at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a win at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This horse's record 24 runs with a priced SP, staking 24 units in total → a profit of +21.0 units, an ROI of +87.5% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runs with a recorded SP are counted, so this bet total can be lower than the horse's total runs. It assumes you back it at SP every single time, with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Date | Venue | Race | Dist | Pos | Jockey | Draw | Weight | MR Pre | Lengths | Odds | Equip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2019 | Greyville | R3 — GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL (MR 7… | 1400m | 11 | Mr L J Ferraris | 6 | 52.0kg* | 50 | +20.95 | 66/1 | |
| 06 Mar 2019 | Greyville | R6 — GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL (MR 6… | 1400m | 11 | Mr Mark Khan | 2 | 55.5kg | 55 | +5.80 | 33/1 | |
| 13 Feb 2019 | Greyville | R4 — SAY NO TO VIOLENCE (MR 66) DIVIDED HANDI… | 1400m | 8 | Mr B Jacobson | 10 | 57.0kg | 60 | +7.25 | 55/1 | |
| 25 Jan 2019 | Greyville | R8 — CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON … | 1400m | 12 | Mr B Jacobson | 9 | 58.0kg | 60 | +81.90 | 28/1 | |
| 09 Jan 2019 | Greyville | R7 — DOWNLOAD THE tabGOLD INFORMATION APP (MR… | 1200m | 4 | Mr D Dillon | 9 | 59.0kg | 62 | +3.00 | 22/1 | |
| 07 Dec 2018 | Greyville | R9 — ROTARY CLUB OF DURBAN MORNINGSIDE (MR 72… | 1200m | 12 | Mr K H Zechner | 4 | 55.0kg | 62 | +10.30 | 28/1 | |
| 05 Oct 2018 | Greyville | R1 — ROTARY CLUB OF WESTVILLE MAIDEN PLATE | 1400m | 1 | Mr D Dillon | 8 | 60.0kg | 53 | Won | 44/1 | |
| 16 Sep 2018 | Scottsville | R8 — SUGAR HILL STABLES MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 8 | Mr B Jacobson | 7 | 60.0kg | 53 | +8.50 | 45/1 | |
| 29 Aug 2018 | Greyville | R8 — MOBILE BETTING VISIT www.trackandball.co… | 1400m | 5 | Mr B Jacobson | 8 | 60.0kg | 51 | +2.65 | 44/1 | |
| 19 Aug 2018 | Scottsville | R1 — ALL TO COME MAIDEN PLATE | 1200m | 11 | Mr L J Ferraris | 15 | 57.5kg* | 51 | +9.45 | 50/1 | |
| 22 Jul 2018 | Greyville | R2 — GLOBAL BLOODSTOCK LOGISTICS MAIDEN PLATE | 1200m | 9 | Mr S D Veale | 7 | 60.0kg | 55 | +11.00 | 22/1 | |
| 02 Jun 2018 | Greyville | R1 — BACKCHAT MAIDEN PLATE | 1200m | 5 | Mr L J Ferraris | 8 | 56.0kg* | 53 | +4.00 | 36/1 | |
| 19 May 2018 | Greyville | R1 — BEACH BEAUTY (2012) MAIDEN PLATE | 1600m | 6 | Mr G Wrogemann | 9 | 60.0kg | 53 | +9.25 | 36/1 | |
| 27 Apr 2018 | Greyville | R4 — MORRIS VEE SPORTS BET i?? www.morrisvee.… | 1400m | 4 | Mr S D Veale | 7 | 60.0kg | 53 | +7.75 | 12/1 | |
| 11 Apr 2018 | Greyville | R1 — CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON … | 1200m | 4 | Mr S D Veale | 8 | 60.0kg | 53 | +4.75 | 28/1 | |
| 14 Mar 2018 | Greyville | R7 — CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON … | 1200m | 5 | Mr G Wrogemann | 4 | 60.0kg | 63 | +3.75 | 12/1 | |
| 14 Feb 2018 | Scottsville | R1 — GCC FEVER MAIDEN PLATE | 1400m | 10 | Mr D W Schwarz | 7 | 58.5kg* | 60 | +12.70 | 28/1 | |
| 29 Dec 2017 | Greyville | R1 — ALL TO COME MAIDEN PLATE | 1200m | 4 | Mr S D Veale | 4 | 60.0kg | 60 | +8.25 | 11/1 | |
| 13 Dec 2017 | Greyville | R2 — iZIMBALI MAIDEN PLATE | 1000m | Unplaced | Mr B Jacobson | 6 | 60.0kg | — | — | — | |
| 27 Oct 2017 | Greyville | R1 — Welcome to the PinkDrive Charity Race Me… | 1000m | Unplaced | — | 8 | 60.0kg | — | — | — | |
| 31 Mar 2017 | Greyville | R2 — FLASH MAIDEN PLATE | 1000m | 4 | Mr W B Kennedy | 10 | 60.0kg | 67 | +1.55 | 28/10Fav | |
| 26 Feb 2017 | Scottsville | R4 — BERRY'S MOWERS & POOLS MAIDEN PLATE | 1200m | 10 | Mr I Sturgeon | 4 | 60.0kg | 70 | +18.80 | 22/1 | |
| 03 Feb 2017 | Greyville | R1 — DOWNLOAD THE tabGOLD INFORMATION APP MAI… | 1000m | 2 | Mr I Sturgeon | 8 | 60.0kg | 67 | +3.25 | 11/2 | |
| 20 Jan 2017 | Greyville | R1 — DOWNLOAD THE tabGOLD INFORMATION APP MAI… | 1200m | 5 | Mr A Mgudlwa | 1 | 60.0kg | — | +3.40 | 28/1 | |
| 01 Jan 2017 | Greyville | R2 — DOWNLOAD THE tabGOLD INFORMATION APP MAI… | 1400m | 8 | Mr A Mgudlwa | 3 | 59.0kg | — | +14.75 | 45/1 | |
| 09 Dec 2016 | Greyville | R2 — KLAWERVLEI STUD APPRENTICE MAIDEN PLATE … | 1200m | 10 | Mr C Ngcobo | 10 | 60.0kg | — | +15.40 | 55/1 |