A speed figure rates how fast the horse ran, not where it finished — so a horse can win slowly (low figure) or run fast in defeat (high one). The scale is built so runs at different tracks, trips and going are directly comparable.
Par. For each track + distance + going we take the median winning time across years of races — the time a normal winner clocks there. Each runner's time is estimated as the winner's time plus its lengths behind (converted to seconds at that race's pace). The figure is then:
Speed = 100 − 2 × (lengths slower than par).
So 100 = par-winning pace, and roughly every 2 points = one length. Above 100 is faster than the standard winner, below is slower.
From this horse's best winning run 26 Nov 2018 · Flamingo Park 1400m (Standard): it won in 83.89s against a par of 87.0s — about 21.6 lengths faster than the standard winner → Speed 140.
Estimated from the winner's time plus beaten lengths (individual clockings aren't published), so it carries some margin of error. It doesn't account for in-race pace or wind. Races with an unreliable winning time (more than ~25 lengths off par) are dropped, beaten lengths are capped at 20, and figures are bounded to 30–140.
Weight-adjusted line. The dashed line normalises each run to a reference of 58 kg carried — the approximate level-weight standard in South African handicap racing. A horse that carried more gets credit (figure rises); one on a lighter load has the advantage removed (figure falls). Conversion: 1 length per 2 kg per 2000 m — so 62 kg in a 1600 m race = +2.5 pts; 55 kg = −1.9 pts. Runs with no weight on record stay at the raw figure.
This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing this horse with the same 1-unit bet every time it runs, at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when it wins at a price that outweighs the losing runs, falling on a losing streak. It asks whether blindly backing the horse would have made money, a tougher test than its win count alone.
Each run settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a win at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a win at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This horse's record 46 runs with a priced SP, staking 46 units in total → a profit of +33.1 units, an ROI of +72.0% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runs with a recorded SP are counted, so this bet total can be lower than the horse's total runs. It assumes you back it at SP every single time, with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Date | Venue | Race | Dist | Pos | Jockey | Draw | Weight | MR Pre | Lengths | Odds | Equip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2021 | Greyville | R4 — TOP-UP YOUR ACCOUNT WITH THE tabGOLD APP… | 1800m | 11 | Mr J Samuel | 7 | 52.0kg | 49 | +9.65 | 30/1 | |
| 15 Mar 2021 | Greyville | R7 — GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE MR 65 HANDIC… | 1700m | 7 | Mr J Samuel | 2 | 52.0kg | 49 | +3.90 | 55/1 | |
| 01 Mar 2021 | Greyville | R6 — www.trackandball.co.za FM 63 HANDICAP (F… | 2000m | 7 | Mr J Samuel | 3 | 53.0kg | 49 | +5.40 | 20/1 | |
| 18 Jan 2021 | Greyville | R7 — ONLINE FORM GUIDE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M)… | 1400m | 12 | Mr N Patel | 11 | 52.0kg | 50 | +28.05 | 16/1 | |
| 23 Dec 2020 | Greyville | R8 — Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDIC… | 1600m | 11 | Mr T Gumede | 4 | 50.0kg* | 52 | +18.80 | 18/1 | |
| 14 Dec 2020 | Greyville | R9 — Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 67 HANDIC… | 1200m | 9 | Mr A Arries | 3 | 52.5kg | 52 | +4.70 | 17/2 | |
| 30 Nov 2020 | Greyville | R7 — SADDLERS ARMS FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (Fo… | 1600m | 4 | Mr A Arries | 7 | 52.5kg | 53 | +2.60 | 7/1 | |
| 23 Nov 2020 | Greyville | R7 — VENILLA MANGAROO FM 60 HANDICAP (F & M) … | 1400m | 4 | Mr J R Syster | 4 | 55.0kg* | 53 | +2.15 | 3/1Fav | |
| 04 Nov 2020 | Greyville | R4 — FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK FM 77 HAN… | 1400m | 4 | Mr K A Brewer | 1 | 48.0kg* | 51 | +5.00 | 15/1 | |
| 12 Oct 2020 | Greyville | R5 — FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE PODCAST FM 62 HANDICA… | 1400m | 3 | Mr L Hewitson | 11 | 54.5kg | 51 | +1.60 | 7/2Fav | |
| 21 Sep 2020 | Greyville | R3 — FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK FM 64 APP… | 1600m | 1 | Mr J R Syster | 9 | 50.0kg* | 49 | Won | 17/2 | |
| 07 Sep 2020 | Greyville | R4 — www.tabgold.co.za FM 64 HANDICAP (F & M)… | 1400m | 5 | Mr T Gumede | 10 | 51.0kg* | 51 | +5.15 | 10/1 | |
| 24 Aug 2020 | Greyville | R7 — STAY SAFE WITH A MASK MR 60 HANDICAP (Op… | 1600m | 5 | Mr J Gates | 6 | 56.5kg* | 53 | +4.10 | 66/1 | |
| 27 Jul 2020 | Greyville | R2 — FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK FM 68 HAN… | 1400m | 10 | Mr Serino Moodley | 9 | 53.0kg | 53 | +10.70 | 66/1 | |
| 14 Oct 2019 | Flamingo Park | R8 — NEXT FLAMINGO PARK RACEMEETING MONDAY 28… | 1400m | 12 | Mr D R Lerena | 4 | 60.5kg* | 87 | +39.25 | 66/1 | |
| 07 Oct 2019 | Flamingo Park | R2 — ALL TO COME PINNACLE STAKES | 1000m | 13 | Mr C Storey | 10 | 55.0kg | 87 | +17.50 | 66/1 | |
| 23 Sep 2019 | Flamingo Park | R6 — INTERBET.CO.ZA 0861 150 160 PINNACLE STA… | 1400m | 7 | Mr K Matsunyane | 1 | 57.0kg* | 91 | +13.50 | 36/1 | |
| 03 Aug 2019 | Flamingo Park | R7 — RACING ASSOCIATION FLAMINGO MILE (Non-Bl… | 1600m | 13 | Mr K Matsunyane | 5 | 60.5kg* | 93 | +25.25 | 50/1 | |
| 15 Jul 2019 | Flamingo Park | R5 — SAVE THE DATE FLAMINGO MILE 3 AUGUST PI… | 1600m | 12 | Mr M A Yeni | 8 | 58.5kg | 95 | +19.00 | 137/20 | |
| 01 Jul 2019 | Flamingo Park | R8 — BETTING WORLD - 087 741 2777 PINNACLE ST… | 1000m | 6 | Mr S L Fortune | 8 | 57.5kg | 96 | +10.50 | 9/1 | |
| 13 May 2019 | Flamingo Park | R8 — BETTING WORLD - 087 741 2777 PINNACLE ST… | 1600m | 8 | Mr D R Lerena | 9 | 54.0kg* | 97 | +25.00 | 9/2 | |
| 08 Apr 2019 | Flamingo Park | R6 — BETTING WORLD - 087 741 2777 PINNACLE ST… | 1600m | 2 | Mr D R Lerena | 9 | 57.0kg* | 97 | +1.75 | 61/20Fav | |
| 25 Mar 2019 | Flamingo Park | R8 — BETTING WORLD - 087 741 2777 PINNACLE ST… | 1200m | 6 | Mr D R Lerena | 9 | 57.5kg* | 97 | +14.50 | 5/4Fav | |
| 21 Jan 2019 | Flamingo Park | R8 — WWW.INTERBET.CO.ZA - 0861 150 160 PINNAC… | 1400m | 1 | Mr D R Lerena | 6 | 54.0kg* | 97 | Won | 57/20Fav | |
| 10 Dec 2018 | Flamingo Park | R4 — TAB PAYS THE FULL DIVIDEND, NO LIMITS PI… | 1600m | 1 | Mr D R Lerena | 9 | 53.0kg* | 94 | Won | 26/10Fav | |
| 26 Nov 2018 | Flamingo Park | R6 — SONAL JACKPOT SPECIAL PINNACLE STAKES (A… | 1400m | 1 | Mr D R Lerena | 6 | 52.0kg* | 89 | Won | 13/1 | |
| 29 Oct 2018 | Flamingo Park | R7 — TAB TELEBET - 0861 000 822 (FM 80) HANDI… | 1300m | 1 | Mr D R Lerena | 11 | 57.5kg* | 81 | Won | 26/10Fav | |
| 15 Oct 2018 | Flamingo Park | R6 — TAB TELEBET - 0861 000 822 (FM 79) HANDI… | 1600m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 7 | 60.0kg | 80 | +0.05 | 5/1 | |
| 17 Sep 2018 | Flamingo Park | R9 — TELLYTRACK (FM 72) HANDICAP (FILLIES & M… | 1400m | 1 | Mr D R Lerena | 12 | 58.0kg* | 74 | Won | 10/1 | |
| 03 Sep 2018 | Flamingo Park | R9 — NEXT FLAMINGO RACEMEETING MONDAY 17 SEPT… | 1000m | 8 | Mr F M Herholdt | 7 | 57.0kg | 74 | +2.60 | 9/2 | |
| 20 Aug 2018 | Flamingo Park | R7 — RACING ASSOCIATION (FM 68) HANDICAP (FIL… | 1300m | 1 | Mr F M Herholdt | 1 | 58.5kg | 66 | Won | 71/20Fav | |
| 23 Jul 2018 | Flamingo Park | R10 — NEXT FLAMINGO RACEMEETING MONDAY 30 JULY… | 1400m | 2 | Mr F M Herholdt | 11 | 58.0kg | 66 | +3.00 | 61/20 | |
| 25 Jun 2018 | Flamingo Park | R9 — PLAY TAB SPECIAL 4 BETS SOCCER WORLD CUP… | 1300m | 1 | Mr F M Herholdt | 12 | 58.5kg | 61 | Won | 11/1 | |
| 11 Jun 2018 | Flamingo Park | R8 — TELLYTRACK (FM 73) HANDICAP (FILLIES & M… | 1000m | 3 | Mr F M Herholdt | 5 | 54.0kg | 63 | +3.00 | 15/1 | |
| 03 May 2018 | Vaal | R6 — PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 (FM 62) HANDICA… | 1600m | 13 | Mr G Wrogemann | 14 | 55.0kg | 55 | +15.50 | 36/1 | |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Vaal | R5 — TAB TELEBET - 0861 000 822 (FM 67) HANDI… | 1000m | 13 | Mr D D David | 11 | 52.0kg | 55 | +5.50 | 44/1 | |
| 11 Jan 2018 | Vaal | R8 — PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 (FM 68) HANDICA… | 1200m | 13 | Mr L Hewitson | 11 | 53.5kg* | 62 | +16.75 | 28/1 | |
| 21 Dec 2017 | Vaal | R9 — NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 28 DEC (F… | 1000m | 8 | Mr K H Zechner | 6 | 55.0kg | 62 | +6.00 | 13/2 | |
| 30 Oct 2017 | Flamingo Park | R9 — NEXT FLAMINGO RACEMEETING MONDAY 6 NOVEM… | 1200m | 6 | Mr S L Fortune | 8 | 55.0kg | 63 | +2.60 | 4/1Fav | |
| 02 Oct 2017 | Flamingo Park | R8 — RACING ASSOCIATION (FM 68) HANDICAP (FIL… | 1000m | 2 | Mr E W Webber | 2 | 52.0kg | 62 | +0.10 | 12/1 | |
| 18 Sep 2017 | Flamingo Park | R3 — TAB TELEBET - 0861 000 822 (FM 62) HANDI… | 1200m | Unplaced | — | 10 | 53.5kg | — | — | — | |
| 04 Sep 2017 | Flamingo Park | R8 — RACING ASSOCIATION (FM 66) HANDICAP (FIL… | 1400m | 11 | Mr D B Yeo | 13 | 54.0kg | 67 | +19.00 | 36/1 | |
| 14 Aug 2017 | Flamingo Park | R9 — NEXT FLAMINGO RACEMEETING MONDAY 21 AUGU… | 1600m | 9 | Mr Wesley Marwing | 14 | 54.5kg | 67 | +18.00 | 12/1 | |
| 24 Jul 2017 | Flamingo Park | R7 — KIMBERLEY NURSERY (NON-BLACK TYPE) (2 YE… | 1400m | 2 | Mr Wesley Marwing | 2 | 57.5kg | — | +0.10 | 100/1 | |
| 26 Jun 2017 | Flamingo Park | R2 — ALL TO COME JUVENILE PLATE (2 YEAR OLDS) | 1200m | 10 | Mr J Penny | 7 | 57.5kg | — | +16.00 | 14/1 | |
| 22 May 2017 | Flamingo Park | R1 — WELCOME TO FLAMINGO PARK MAIDEN JUVENILE… | 1000m | 1 | Mr J Penny | 4 | 60.0kg | — | Won | 16/1 | |
| 08 May 2017 | Flamingo Park | R2 — ALL TO COME MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (2 YEA… | 1000m | 5 | Mr J Penny | 3 | 60.0kg | — | +13.00 | 25/1 |