This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every ride with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this jockey would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each ride settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This jockey's record 73 rides with a priced SP, staking 73 units in total → a profit of +71.2 units, an ROI of +97.6% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only rides with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total rides. It assumes you take SP on every ride with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Trainer | Rides | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr M F de Kock | 16 | 8 | 50.0% |
| Mr St John D Gray | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| Mr J A J Visser | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr B Webber | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Mr B J Crawford | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Mr C J Lensley | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Mr A Ndzilana | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Mr P A Peter | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr F Bronkhorst | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr R R Magner | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr D S Bosch | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr D J Nieuwenhuizen | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Rides | W |
|---|---|---|
| Nkandla Gold | 2 | 2 |
| Right Choice | 3 | 1 |
| On The Guest List | 2 | 1 |
| Al Akhtaar | 2 | 1 |
| Inherit The Rain | 1 | 1 |
| Verolina | 1 | 1 |
| Just A Memory | 1 | 1 |
| Mia Regina | 1 | 1 |
| Nyali Beach | 1 | 1 |
| San Marzano | 1 | 1 |
| Mambo Come Tesio | 1 | 1 |
| Dubai Hills | 1 | 1 |