This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every ride with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this jockey would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each ride settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This jockey's record 65 rides with a priced SP, staking 65 units in total → a profit of +1.4 units, an ROI of +2.2% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only rides with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total rides. It assumes you take SP on every ride with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Trainer | Rides | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr V H Marshall | 29 | 6 | 20.7% |
| Mr P D Reeves | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| Candice Bass | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Messrs C J Burger & Riaan van Reenen | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr G S Kotzen | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr J M T Stewart | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Mr A E Sands | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr M J Robinson | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr A N Marcus | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr H W J Crawford & Mrs M Rix | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr P A W Botha | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Rides | W |
|---|---|---|
| Flying Monarch | 2 | 1 |
| Winter Assembly | 2 | 1 |
| Indigo Storm | 1 | 1 |
| The Great Victory | 1 | 1 |
| Sharp Peg | 1 | 1 |
| Double Rosie | 1 | 1 |
| Look To | 1 | 1 |
| I Did What I Did | 1 | 1 |
| Rikers Island (AUS) | 3 | 0 |
| Spy | 3 | 0 |
| Rebel's Burst | 2 | 0 |
| Freedom Park | 2 | 0 |