This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every ride with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this jockey would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each ride settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This jockey's record 95 rides with a priced SP, staking 95 units in total → a loss of -5.0 units, an ROI of -5.3% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only rides with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total rides. It assumes you take SP on every ride with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Trainer | Rides | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr S J Snaith | 19 | 3 | 15.8% |
| Mr J I Crawford | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Mr G S Kotzen | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Mr D A McLachlan | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr P D Reeves | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr D S Bosch | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Mr A C Greeff | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Miss W Whitehead | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mrs M Rix | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Candice Bass | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr V H Marshall | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr Z Oosthuizen | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Rides | W |
|---|---|---|
| Navaseven | 3 | 1 |
| Worldly | 3 | 1 |
| Dame Of Trix | 2 | 1 |
| Ardabil | 2 | 1 |
| Queen Regent | 1 | 1 |
| Beautiful Rania | 1 | 1 |
| Izanami | 1 | 1 |
| Pennys Choice | 3 | 0 |
| See The Sign | 2 | 0 |
| Ain't Misbehavin' | 2 | 0 |
| La Landonne | 2 | 0 |
| Sendai | 2 | 0 |